Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19
dc.contributor.author | Aleta, Alberto | |
dc.contributor.author | Martín-Corral, David | |
dc.contributor.author | Pastore y Piontti, Ana | |
dc.contributor.author | Ajelli, Marco | |
dc.contributor.author | Litvinova, Maria | |
dc.contributor.author | Chinazzi, Matteo | |
dc.contributor.author | Dean, Natalie E. | |
dc.contributor.author | Halloran, M. Elizabeth | |
dc.contributor.author | Longini Jr, Ira M. | |
dc.contributor.author | Merler, Stefano | |
dc.contributor.author | Pentland, Alex | |
dc.contributor.author | Vespignani, Alessandro | |
dc.contributor.author | Moro, Esteban | |
dc.contributor.author | Moreno, Yamir | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-03-30T20:37:58Z | |
dc.date.available | 2021-03-30T20:37:58Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2020-08-05 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/130293 | |
dc.description.abstract | While severe social-distancing measures have proven effective in slowing the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, second-wave scenarios are likely to emerge as restrictions are lifted. Here we integrate anonymized, geolocalized mobility data with census and demographic data to build a detailed agent-based model of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission in the Boston metropolitan area. We find that a period of strict social distancing followed by a robust level of testing, contact-tracing and household quarantine could keep the disease within the capacity of the healthcare system while enabling the reopening of economic activities. Our results show that a response system based on enhanced testing and contact tracing can have a major role in relaxing social-distancing interventions in the absence of herd immunity against SARS-CoV-2. | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
dc.publisher | Nature Human Behaviour | en_US |
dc.rights | Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 United States | * |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/us/ | * |
dc.title | Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19 | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
dc.identifier.citation | Aleta, A., Martin-Corral, D., y Piontti, A. P., Ajelli, M., Litvinova, M., Chinazzi, M., ... & Moreno, Y. (2020). Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19. Nature Human Behaviour, 4(9), 964-971. | en_US |