An evaluation of scenario planning for supply chain design

Abstract

When trying to envision what the future might look like, different methods of forecasting are often used. However, there is a growing consensus that discontinuity and abrupt change are inherent to the very nature of the future and should be incorporated into futurist studies. One such study is the MIT Center for Transportation and Logistics' Future of Supply Chain 2020 (SC2020). This paper reviews the future-studies method of Scenario Planning and evaluates its applicability to the SC2020 project.