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Browsing Center for Global Change Science by Title

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  • Health Damages from Air Pollution in China 
    Matus, Kira; Nam, Kyung-Min; Selin, Noelle E.; Lamsal, Lok N.; Reilly, John M.; Paltsev, Sergey (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-03)
    In China, elevated levels of urban air pollution result in substantial adverse health impacts for its large and rapidly growing urban population. An expanded version of the Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA), ...
  • Health Damages from Air Pollution in China 
    Matus, Kira; Nam, Kyung-Min; Selin, Noelle E.; Lamsal, Lok N.; Reilly, John M.; Paltsev, Sergey (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-03)
    In China, elevated levels of urban air pollution result in substantial adverse health impacts for its large and rapidly growing urban population. An expanded version of the Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA), ...
  • Heavier Crude, Changing Demand for Petroleum Fuels, Regional Climate Policy, and the Location of Upgrading Capacity: 
    Reilly, John; Paltsev, Sergey; Choumert, Frederic (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007-04)
    The crude slate is likely to become heavier in the future with greater reliance on bitumens, tar sands, heavy oils, and eventually possibly shale oil. Under standard refining processes these crude oil sources produce a ...
  • How to think about human influence on climate 
    Forest, Chris Eliot.; Stone, Peter H.; Jacoby, Henry D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2000-10)
    We present a pedagogical paper on the detection of climate change and its attribution to anthropogenic influences. We attempt to separate the key thought processes and tools that are used when making qualitative statements ...
  • The Impact of Border Carbon Adjustments under Alternative Producer Responses 
    Winchester, Niven (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-02)
    Border carbon adjustments (BCAs) have been proposed to address leakage and competitiveness concerns. In traditional assessments, firms regard BCAs as output taxes rather than implicit emissions taxes. Using a stylized ...
  • The Impact of Climate Policy on U.S. Aviation 
    Winchester, Niven; Wollersheim, C.; Clewlow, R.; Jost, N.C.; Paltsev, Sergey; Reilly, John M.; Waitz, I.A. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-04)
    We evaluate the impact of an economy-wide cap-and-trade policy on U.S. aviation taking the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (H.R.2454) as a representative example. We use an economywide model to estimate the ...
  • Impact of emissions, chemistry, and climate on atmospheric carbon monoxide : 100-year predictions from a global chemistry-climate model 
    Wang, Chien.; Prinn, Ronald G. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1998-04)
    The possible trends for atmospheric carbon monoxide in the next 100 yr have been illustrated using a coupled atmospheric chemistry and climate model driven by emissions predicted by a global economic development model. ...
  • Impact of Sulfur and Carbonaceous Emissions from International Shipping on Aerosol Distributions and Direct Radiative Forcing 
    Wang, Chien.; Kim, Dongchul. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-04)
    We describe in this report an effort using the MIT/NCAR three-dimensional aerosol-climate model to study the impact of ship emissions on chemical composition and radiative forcing of aerosols. Our results indicate that ...
  • Impacts of Land Use and Biofuels Policy on Climate: Temperature and Localized Impacts 
    Hallgren, Willow; Schlosser, Adam; Monier, Erwan (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-08-06)
    The impact on climate of future land use and energy policy scenarios is explored using two landuse frameworks: (i) Pure Cost Conversion Response (PCCR), or 'extensification', where the price of land is the only constraint ...
  • Implementation of a Cloud Radiative Adjustment Method to Change the Climate Sensitivity of CAM3 
    Sokolov, Andrei P.; Monier, Erwan (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-08)
    Conducting probabilistic climate projections with a particular climate model requires the ability to vary the model’s characteristics, such as its climate sensitivity. In this study, we implement and validate a method to ...
  • Implications of Climate Science for Policy 
    Jacoby, H.D. (MIT Joint Program, 2013-07-18)
    Climate change presents the greatest challenge ever faced by our domestic and international institutions, and a great deal of the difficulty lies in the science of the issue. Because human influence on global climate differs ...
  • Incentive-based approaches for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions : issues and prospects for India 
    Gupta, Shreekant. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-06)
    As a consequence of the flexibility mechanisms incorporated in the Kyoto Protocol, incentive-based policies such as emissions trading and the clean development mechanism are being widely discussed in the context of greenhouse ...
  • Induced technical change and the cost of climate policy 
    Sue Wing, Ian. (2003-09)
    This paper investigates the potential for a carbon tax to induce R&D, and for the consequent induced technical change (ITC) to lower the macroeconomic cost of abating carbon emissions. ITC is modelled within a general ...
  • Influence of Air Quality Model Resolution on Uncertainty Associated With Health Impacts 
    Thompson, T.M.; Selin, N.E. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-12)
    We evaluate the uncertainty associated with regional air quality modeling grid resolution when calculating the health benefits of proposed air quality regulations. Using a regional photochemical model (CAMx), we ran two ...
  • The Influence of Shale gas on U.S. Energy and Environmental Policy 
    Jacoby, H.D.; O'Sullivan, F.M.; Paltsev, S. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-11)
    The emergence of U.S. shale gas resources to economic viability affects the nation’s energy outlook and the expected role of natural gas in climate policy. Even in the face of the current shale gas boom, however, questions ...
  • The Influence on Climate Change of Differing Scenarios for Future Development Analyzed Using the MIT Integrated Global System Model 
    Prinn, Ronald G.; Paltsev, Sergey; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Sarofim, Marcus C.; Reilly, John M.; Jacoby, Henry D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-09)
    A wide variety of scenarios for future development have played significant roles in climate policy discussions. This paper presents projections of greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations, sea level rise due to thermal expansion ...
  • Informing Climate Policy Given Incommensurable Benefits Estimates 
    Jacoby, Henry D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004-02)
    The determination of long-term goals for climate policy, or of near-term mitigation effort, requires a shared conception among nations of what is at stake. Unfortunately, because of different attitudes to risk, problems ...
  • An Integrated Assessment Framework for Uncertainty Studies in Global and Regional Climate Change: The IGSM-CAM 
    Monier, Erwan; Scott, Jeffery R.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Forest, Chris E.; Schlosser, C. Adam (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-06-18)
    This paper describes an integrated assessment framework for uncertainty studies in global and regional climate change. In this framework, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Integrated Global System Model (IGSM), ...
  • Integrated Economic and Climate Projections for Impact Assessment 
    Paltsev, Sergey; Monier, Erwan; Scott, Jeffery; Sokolov, Andrei; Reilly, John M. (MIT Joint Program, 2013-05)
    We designed scenarios for impact assessment that explicitly address policy choices and uncertainty in climate response. Economic projections and the resulting greenhouse gas emissions for the “no climate policy” scenario ...
  • Integrated global system model for climate policy assessment : feedbacks and sensitivity studies 
    Prinn, Ronald G.; Jacoby, Henry D.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Wang, Chien.; Xiao, Xiangming.; Yang, Zili.; Eckaus, Richard S.; Stone, Peter H.; Ellerman, A. Denny.; Melillo, Jerry M.; Fitzmaurice, Jean.; Kicklighter, David W.; Holian, Gary L.; Liu, Yuexin. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1998-05)
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