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Browsing Center for Global Change Science by Title

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  • Evaluating the Use of Ocean Models of Different Complexity in Climate Change Studies 
    Sokolov, Andrei P.; Dutkiewicz, Stephanie.; Stone, Peter H.; Scott, Jeffery. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2005-11)
    The study of the uncertainties in future climate projections requires large ensembles of simulations with different values of model characteristics that define its response to external forcing. These characteristic include ...
  • The evolution of a climate regime: Kyoto to Marrakech 
    Babiker, Mustafa H.M.; Jacoby, Henry D.; Reilly, John M.; Reiner, David M. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-02)
    At meetings in Bonn and Marrakech in 2001, the Conference of the Parties to the Framework Convention on Climate Change broke through an impasse on the detailed provisions needed to allow the Kyoto Protocol to enter into ...
  • Exclusionary manipulation of carbon permit markets: a laboratory test 
    Carlén, Björn. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-11)
    The experiment reported here tests the case of so-called exclusionary manipulation of emission permit markets, i.e., when a dominant firm -- here a monopolist -- increases its holding of permits in order to raise its rivals' ...
  • Expectations for a New Climate Agreement 
    Jacoby, H.D.; Chen, Y.-H.H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2014-08)
    With the objective of stimulating timely and open discussion of the current attempt to formulate a new climate agreement—to be reached at the 21st meeting of the Conference of Parties (COP-21) in Paris during November of ...
  • Explaining Long-Run Changes in the Energy Intensity of the U.S. Economy 
    Sue Wing, Ian.; Eckaus, Richard S. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004-09)
    Recent events have revived interest in explaining the long-run changes in the energy intensity of the U.S. economy. We use a KLEM dataset for 35 industries over 39 years to decompose changes in the aggregate energy-GDP ...
  • Fair trade and harmonization of climate change policies in Europe 
    Viguier, Laurent L. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2000-09)
    In March 2000, the European Commission presented a Green Paper on greenhouse gas emissions trading within Europe, supporting implementation of a Community-wide scheme in which the design and regulation of all essential ...
  • Federal Tax Policy Towards Energy 
    Metcalf, Gilbert E. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007-01)
    On Aug. 8, 2005, President Bush signed the Energy Policy Act of 2005 (PL 109-58). This was the first major piece of energy legislation enacted since 1992 following five years of Congressional efforts to pass energy ...
  • Feedbacks affecting the response of the thermohaline circulation to increasing CO₂: a study with a model of intermediate complexity 
    Kamenkovich, Igor V.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Stone, Peter H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2001-07)
  • A flexible climate model for use in integrated assessments 
    Sokolov, Andrei P.; Stone, Peter H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1997-03)
  • A Forward Looking Version of the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model 
    Babiker, Mustafa M.H.; Gurgel, Angelo C.; Paltsev, Sergey; Reilly, John M. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-05)
    This paper documents a forward looking multi-regional general equilibrium model developed from the latest version of the recursive-dynamic MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model. The model represents ...
  • A Framework for Analysis of the Uncertainty of Socioeconomic Growth and Climate Change on the Risk of Water Stress: a Case Study in Asia 
    Fant, C.; Schlosser, C.A.; Gao, X.; Strzepek, K.; Reilly, J. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2014-11)
    The sustainability of future water resources is of paramount importance and is affected by many factors, including population, wealth and climate. Inherent in how these factors change in the future is the uncertainty of ...
  • A Framework for Modeling Uncertainty in Regional Climate Change 
    Monier, Erwan; Gao, Xiang; Scott, Jeffery; Sokolov, Andrei; Schlosser, C. Adam (MIT Joint Program, 2013-05)
    In this study, we present a new modeling framework and a large ensemble of climate projections to investigate the uncertainty in regional climate change over the US associated with four dimensions of uncertainty. The sources ...
  • From science to policy : the science-related politics of climate change policy in the U.S. 
    Skolnikoff, Eugene B. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1999-01)
    Global climate change is on the political agenda primarily as a result of science and the warnings of the scientific community, and is commonly seen as a quintessentially scientific matter. However, the development of ...
  • Future Carbon Regulations and Current Investments in Alternative Coal-Fired Power Plant Designs 
    Sekar, Ram C.; Parsons, John E.; Herzog, Howard J.; Jacoby, Henry D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2005-12)
    This paper assesses the role of uncertainty over future U.S. carbon regulations in shaping the current choice of which type of power plant to build. The pulverized coal technology (PC) still offer the lowest cost power— ...
  • The Future Energy and GHG Emissions Impact of Alternative Personal Transportation Pathways in China 
    Kishimoto, P.N.; Paltsev, S.; Karplus, V.J. (Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-10)
    A major uncertainty in future energy and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions projections for China is the evolution of demand for personal transportation modes. This paper explores the implications of divergent personal ...
  • The Future of Coal in China 
    Zhang, X.; Winchester, N.; Zhang, X. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2017-04)
    As the world’s largest consumer of total primary energy and energy from coal, and the largest emitter of carbon dioxide (CO2), China is now taking an active role in controlling CO2 emissions. Given current coal use in ...
  • The Future of Global Water Stress: An Integrated Assessment 
    Schlosser, C. Adam; Strzepek, Kenneth M.; Gao, Xiang; Gueneau, Arthur; Fant, Charles; Paltsev, Sergey; Rasheed, Bilhuda; Smith-Greico, Tony; Blanc, Elodie; Jacoby, Henry D.; Reilly, John M. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2014-01)
    We assess the ability of global water systems, resolved at 282 large river basins or Assessment Sub Regions (ASRs), to the meet water requirements over the coming decades under integrated projections of socioeconomic growth ...
  • The Future of Natural Gas in China: Effects of Pricing Reform and Climate Policy 
    Zhang, Danwei; Paltsev, Sergey (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2016-03)
    China is currently attempting to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increase natural gas consumption as a part of broader national strategies to reduce the air pollution impacts of the nation’s energy system. To assess ...
  • The Future of U.S. Natural Gas Production, Use, and Trade 
    Paltsev, Sergey; Jacoby, Henry D.; Reilly, John M.; Ejaz, Q.J.; O’Sullivan, F.; Morris, Jennifer; Rausch, Sebastian; Winchester, Niven; Kragha, O. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2010-06)
    Two computable general equilibrium models, one global and the other providing U.S. regional detail, are applied to analysis of the future of U.S. natural gas as an input to an MIT study of the topic. The focus is on ...
  • Future United States Energy Security Concerns 
    Deutch, John M. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004-09)
    Without energy, the economy can neither function nor grow. However, for at least the next half-century, the U.S. will not have an inexhaustible supply of inexpensive, clean energy. Dependence on energy imports, vulnerability ...
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