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Browsing Center for Global Change Science by Title

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Browsing Center for Global Change Science by Title

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  • Process Modeling of Global Soil Nitrous Oxide Emissions 
    Saikawa, E.; Schlosser, C.A.; Prinn, R.G. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-09-01)
    Nitrous oxide is an important greenhouse gas and is a major ozone-depleting substance. To understand and quantify soil nitrous oxide emissions, we expanded the Community Land Model with prognostic Carbon and Nitrogen ...
  • The Prospects for Coal-To-Liquid Conversion: A General Equilibrium Analysis 
    Chen, Y.-H. Henry; Reilly, John M.; Paltsev, Sergey (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-05)
    We investigate the economics of coal-to-liquid (CTL) conversion, a polygeneration technology that produces liquid fuels, chemicals, and electricity by coal gasification and Fischer-Tropsch process. CTL is more expensive ...
  • Prospects for Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles in the United States and Japan: A General Equilibrium Analysis 
    Reilly, John M.; Paltsev, Sergey; Karplus, Valerie J. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-04)
    The plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) may offer a potential near term, low carbon alternative to today's gasoline- and diesel-powered vehicles. A representative vehicle technology that runs on electricity in addition ...
  • Protection of Coastal Infrastructure under Rising Flood Risk 
    Lickley, M.J.; Lin, N.; Jacoby, H.D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2013-03)
    The 2005 hurricane season was particularly damaging to the United States, contributing to significant losses to energy infrastructure—much of it the result of flooding from storm surge during hurricanes Katrina and Rita. ...
  • Quantifying Regional Economic Impacts of CO2 Intensity Targets in China 
    Zhang, Da; Rausch, Sebastian; Karplus, Valerie; Zhang, Xiliang (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-09-01)
    To address rising energy use and CO2 emissions, China’s leadership has enacted energy and CO2 intensity targets under the Twelfth Five-Year Plan (2011–2015), which are defined at both the national and provincial levels. ...
  • Quantifying the Likelihood of Regional Cimate Change: A hybridized Approach 
    Schlosser, C. Adam; Forest, C.; Awadalla, S.; Farmer, W.; Gao, X.; Strzepek, K. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-09)
    The growing need for risk-based assessments of impacts and adaptation to climate change calls for increased capability in climate projections: the quantification of the likelihood of regional outcomes and the representation ...
  • Quantifying the uncertainty in climate predictions 
    Webster, Mort David.; Sokolov, Andrei P. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1998-07)
  • Quantifying uncertainties in climate system properties using recent climate observations 
    Forest, Chris Eliot.; Stone, Peter H.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Allen, Myles R.; Webster, Mort David. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2001-07)
    We apply the optimal fingerprint detection algorithm to three independent diagnostics of the recent climate record and derive joint probability density distributions for three uncertain properties of the climate system. ...
  • Relative role of changes in CO₂ and climate to equilibrium responses of net primary production and carbon storage of the terrestrial biosphere 
    Xiao, Xiangming.; Melillo, Jerry M.; Kicklighter, David W.; McGuire, A. David.; Stone, Peter H.; Sokolov, Andrei P. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1996-06)
    In a partial factorial model experiment, we used the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM, version 4.0) to assess the relative roles of changes in CO2, temperature, precipitation and cloudiness in equilibrium responses of ...
  • Relative Roles of Climate Sensitivity and Forcing in Defining the Ocean Circulation Response to Climate Change 
    Scott, Jeffery R.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Stone, Peter H.; Webster, Mort D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007-05)
    The response of the ocean’s meridional overturning circulation (MOC) to increased greenhouse gas forcing is examined using a coupled model of intermediate complexity, including a dynamic 3D ocean subcomponent. Parameters ...
  • Representing energy technologies in top-down economic models using bottom-up information 
    McFarland, James R.; Reilly, John M.; Herzog, Howard J. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-10)
    This paper uses bottom-up engineering information as a basis for modeling new technologies within the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, a computable general equilibrium model of the world economy. ...
  • Responses of primary production and total carbon storage to changes in climate and atmospheric CO₂ concentration 
    Xiao, Xiangming.; Kicklighter, David W.; Melillo, Jerry M.; McGuire, A. David.; Stone, Peter H.; Sokolov, Andrei P. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1995-10)
    The authors used the terrestrial ecosystem model (TEM, version 4.0) to estimate global responses of annual net primary production (NPP) and total carbon storage to changes in climate and atmospheric CO2, driven by the ...
  • Rethinking the Kyoto emission targets 
    Babiker, Mustafa H.M.; Eckaus, Richard S. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2000-08)
  • The Role of China in Mitigating Climate Change 
    Paltsev, S.; Morris, J.; Cai, Y.; Karplus, V.; Jacoby, H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-04)
    We explore short- and long-term implications of several energy scenarios of China’s role in efforts to mitigate global climate risk. The focus is on the impacts on China’s energy system and GDP growth, and on global climate ...
  • The Role of Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gases in Climate Policy: Analysis Using the MIT IGSM 
    Reilly, John M.; Sarofim, Marcus C.; Paltsev, Sergey.; Prinn, Ronald G. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004-08)
    First steps toward a broad climate agreement, such as the Kyoto Protocol, have focused attention on agreement with less than global geographic coverage. We consider instead a policy that is less comprehensive in term of ...
  • Russia’s Natural Gas Export Potential up to 2050 
    Paltsev, Sergey (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-07)
    Recent increases in natural gas reserve estimates and advances in shale gas technology make natural gas a fuel with good prospects to serve a bridge to a low-carbon world. Russia is an important energy supplier as it holds ...
  • Russia's role in the Kyoto Protocol 
    Bernard, Alain.; Paltsev, Sergey.; Reilly, John M.; Vielle, Marc.; Viguier, Laurent L. (2003-06)
    As a result of the allocation of emissions reductions, and the differential willingness of countries to ratify, it turns out that Russia is a central player in the Kyoto Protocol. With the U.S. out and Japan and the EU ...
  • The safety valve and climate policy 
    Jacoby, Henry D.; Ellerman, A. Denny. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-02)
    In discussions of a cap-and-trade system for implementation of Kyoto Protocol-type quantity targets, a "safety valve" was proposed where, by government sales of emissions permits at a fixed price, the marginal cost of the ...
  • Same science, differing policies : the saga of global climate change 
    Skolnikoff, Eugene B. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1997-08)
    This paper provides a comparative analysis of the economic and political interests influencing the progress of climate negotiation. The primary focus is on the U.S., France, Germany, U.K., Belgium, Netherlands, and the ...
  • A semi-empirical representation of the temporal variation of total greenhouse gas levels expressed as equivalent levels of carbon dioxide 
    Cunnold, Derek; Prinn, Ronald G.; Huang, Jin; Wang, Ray (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-06)
    In order to examine the underlying longer-term trends in greenhouse gases, that are driven for example by anthropogenic emissions or climate change, it is useful to remove the recurring effects of natural cycles and ...
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