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Browsing Center for Global Change Science by Title

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  • A study of the effects of natural fertility, weather and productive inputs in Chinese agriculture 
    Eckaus, Richard S.; Tso, Katherine Kit-Yan. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1999-07)
    This paper presents an investigation of the relations in China between farm output, the natural fertility of agricultural land, and the use of anthropogenic farm inputs. The methodology is presented as a potential increment ...
  • Supplementarity : an invitation to monopsony? 
    Ellerman, A. Denny.; Sue Wing, Ian. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2000-04)
    Article 17 of the Kyoto Protocol allows Annex B parties to meet their commitments by trading greenhouse gas emissions reductions "supplemental" to domestic emissions control. We demonstrate that implementing supplementarity ...
  • Tax distortions and global climate policy 
    Babiker, Mustafa H.M.; Metcalf, Gilbert E.; Reilly, John M. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-05)
    We consider the efficiency implications of policies to reduce global carbon emissions in a world with pre-existing tax distortions. We first show that the weak double dividend, the proposition that the welfare improvement ...
  • Technical Change, Investment and Energy Intensity 
    Kratena, Kurt (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007-03)
    This paper analyzes the role of different components of technical change on energy intensity by applying a Translog variable cost function setting to the new EU KLEMS dataset for 3 selected EU countries (Italy, Finland and ...
  • Technology and Technical Change in the MIT EPPA Model 
    Jacoby, Henry D.; Reilly, John M.; McFarland, James R.; Paltsev, Sergey. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004-07)
    Potential technology change has a strong influence on projections of greenhouse gas emissions and costs of control, and computable general equilibrium (CGE) models are a common device for studying these phenomena. Using ...
  • Technology detail in a multi-sector CGE model : transport under climate policy 
    Schafer, Andreas.; Jacoby, Henry D. (2003-07)
    A set of three analytical models is used to study the imbedding of specific transport technologies within a multi-sector, multi-region evaluation of constraints on greenhouse emissions. Key parameters of a computable general ...
  • Thermohaline circulation stability : a box model study. Part I: Uncoupled model. Part II: Coupled atmosphere-ocean model 
    Lucarini, Valerio.; Stone, Peter H. (2003-06)
  • A Three-Dimensional Ocean-Seaice-Carbon Cycle Model and its Coupling to a Two-Dimensional Atmospheric Model: Uses in Climate Change Studies 
    Dutkiewicz, Stephanie.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Scott, Jeffery.; Stone, Peter H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2005-05)
    We describe the coupling of a three-dimensional ocean circulation model, with explicit thermodynamic seaice and ocean carbon cycle representations, to a two-dimensional atmospheric/land model. This coupled system has been ...
  • Toward a useful architecture for climate change negotiations 
    Jacoby, Henry D.; Schmalensee, Richard.; Sue Wing, Ian. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1999-05)
    Years of hard bargaining have failed to produce a policy architecture to adequately address the complexities of climate change. Very likely, such a structure will have to be sought though improvement of the partial ...
  • Tradable permits for greenhouse gas emissions : a primer with particular reference to Europe 
    Ellerman, A. Denny. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2000-11)
    This paper is written as part of a two-year study of climate change policy choices facing Sweden, conducted under the auspices of the Center for Business and Policy Studies in Stockholm. As such, it aims to be a primer on ...
  • Transient climate change and net ecosystem production of the terrestrial biosphere 
    Xiao, Xiangming.; Melillo, Jerry M.; Kicklighter, David W.; McGuire, A. David.; Prinn, Ronald G.; Wang, Chien.; Stone, Peter H.; Sokolov, Andrei P. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1997-11)
    The Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM version 4.1) is applied to assess the sensitivity of net ecosystem production (NEP) of the terrestrial biosphere to transient changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration and climate in the ...
  • Transient climate change and potential croplands of the world in the 21st century 
    Xiao, Xiangming.; Melillo, Jerry M.; Kicklighter, David W.; McGuire, A. David.; Tian, Hanqin.; Pan, Yude.; Vörösmarty, Charles, J.; Yang, Zili. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1997-05)
    A cropland distribution model, which is based on climate, soil and topography, is applied to estimate the area and spatial distribution of global potential croplands under contemporary climate and to assess the effect of ...
  • Uncertainty analysis of climate change and policy response 
    Webster, Mort David.; Forest, Chris Eliot.; Reilly, John M.; Babiker, Mustafa H.M.; Kicklighter, David W.; Mayer, Monika.; Prinn, Ronald G.; Sarofim, Marcus C.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Stone, Peter H.; Wang, Chien. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-12)
    To aid climate policy decisions, accurate quantitative descriptions of the uncertainty in climate outcomes under various possible policies are needed. Here, we apply an earth systems model to describe the uncertainty in ...
  • Uncertainty in atmospheric CO₂ predictions from a parametric uncertainty analysis of a global carbon cycle model 
    Holian, Gary L.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Prinn, Ronald G. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2001-09)
    Key uncertainties in the global carbon cycle are explored with a 2-D model for the oceanic carbon sink. By calibrating the key parameters of this ocean carbon sink model to widely referenced values, it produces an average ...
  • Uncertainty in climate change policy analysis 
    Jacoby, Henry D.; Prinn, Ronald G. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1994-12)
    Achieving agreement about whether and how to control greenhouse gas emissions would be difficult enough even if the consequences were fully known. Unfortunately, choices must be made in the face of great uncertainty, about ...
  • Uncertainty in emissions projections for climate models 
    Webster, Mort David.; Babiker, Mustafa H.M.; Mayer, Monika.; Reilly, John M.; Harnisch, Jochen.; Hyman, Robert C.; Sarofim, Marcus C.; Wang, Chien. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2001-08)
    Future global climate projections are subject to large uncertainties. Major sources of this uncertainty are projections of anthropogenic emissions. We evaluate the uncertainty in future anthropogenic emissions using a ...
  • Uncertainty in future carbon emissions : a preliminary exploration 
    Webster, Mort David. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1997-11)
    In order to analyze competing policy approaches for addressing global climate change, a wide variety of economic-energy models are used to project future carbon emissions under various policy scenarios. Due to uncertainties ...
  • Uncertainty in Greenhouse Emissions and Costs of Atmospheric Stabilization 
    Webster, Mort D.; Paltsev, Sergey; Parsons, John E.; Reilly, John M.; Jacoby, Henry D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-11)
    We explore the uncertainty in projections of emissions, and costs of atmospheric stabilization applying the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis model, a computable general equilibrium model of the global economy. ...
  • Uncertainty in the oceanic heat and carbon uptake and their impact on climate projections 
    Sokolov, Andrei P.; Wang, Chien.; Holian, Gary L.; Stone, Peter H.; Prinn, Ronald G. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1997-09)
    The impact of uncertainty in the rate of heat and carbon uptake by the deep ocean on climate response to increases in greenhouse gas concentrations is studied by means of numerical simulations with the two-dimensional ...
  • Unintended Environmental Consequences of a Global Biofuels Program 
    Melillo, Jerry M.; Gurgel, Angelo C.; Kicklighter, David W.; Reilly, John M.; Cronin, Timothy W.; Felzer, Benjamin Seth.; Paltsev, Sergey; Schlosser, C. Adam.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Wang, Xiaodong (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-01)
    Biofuels are being promoted as an important part of the global energy mix to meet the climate change challenge. The environmental costs of biofuels produced with current technologies at small scales have been studied, but ...
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