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Browsing Center for Global Change Science by Title

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Browsing Center for Global Change Science by Title

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  • Comparing greenhouse gasses 
    Reilly, John M.; Babiker, Mustafa H.M.; Mayer, Monika. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2001-07)
    Controlling multiple substances that jointly contribute to climate warming requires some method to compare the effects of the different gases because the physical properties (radiative effects, and persistence in the ...
  • A comparison of the behavior of different AOGCMs in transient climate change experiments 
    Sokolov, Andrei P.; Forest, Chris Eliot.; Stone, Peter H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2001-12)
    The transient response of both surface air temperature and deep ocean temperature to an increasing external forcing strongly depends on climate sensitivity and the rate of the heat mixing into the deep ocean, estimates for ...
  • Consequences of Considering Carbon/Nitrogen Interactions on the Feedbacks between Climate and the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle 
    Sokolov, Andrei P.; Kicklighter, David W.; Melillo, Jerry M.; Felzer, Benjamin; Schlosser, C. Adam; Cronin, Timothy W. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007-06)
    A number of observational studies indicate that carbon sequestration by terrestrial ecosystems in a world with an atmosphere richer in carbon dioxide and a warmer climate depends on the interactions between the carbon and ...
  • Constraining Climate Model Parameters from Observed 20th Century Changes 
    Forest, Chris Eliot; Stone, Peter H.; Sokolov, Andrei P. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-04)
    We present revised probability density functions for climate model parameters (effective climate sensitivity, the rate of deep-ocean heat uptake, and the strength of the net aerosol forcing) that are based on climate change ...
  • Constraining climate model properties using optimal fingerprint detection methods 
    Forest, Chris Eliot.; Allen, Myles R.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Stone, Peter H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2000-05)
    We present a method for constraining key properties of the climate system that are important for climate prediction (climate sensitivity and rate of heat penetration into the deep ocean) by comparing a model's response to ...
  • Constraining uncertainties in climate models using climate change detection techniques 
    Forest, Chris Eliot.; Allen, Myles R.; Stone, Peter H.; Sokolov, Andrei P. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1999-04)
    Different atmosphere-ocean general circulation models produce significantly different projections of climate change in response to increases in greenhouse gases and aerosol concentrations in the atmosphere. The main reasons ...
  • Consumption-Based Adjustment of China's Emissions-Intensity Targets: An Analysis of its Potential Economic Effects 
    Springmann, M.; Zhang, D.; Karplus, V.J. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2013-03)
    China’s Twelfth Five-Year Plan (2011–2015) aims to achieve a national carbon intensity reduction of 17% through differentiated targets at the provincial level. Allocating the national target among China’s provinces is ...
  • The Cost of Climate Policy in the United States 
    Morris, Jennifer F.; Jacoby, Henry D.; Reilly, John M.; Paltsev, Sergey (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-04)
    We consider the cost of meeting emissions reduction targets consistent with a G8 proposal of a 50 percent global reduction in emissions by 2050, and an Obama Administration proposal of an 80 percent reduction over this ...
  • The Cost of Kyoto Protocol Targets: The Case of Japan 
    Paltsev, Sergey.; Reilly, John M.; Jacoby, Henry D.; Tay, Kok Hou. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004-07)
    This paper applies the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model to analysis of the cost of the Kyoto Protocol targets, with a special focus on Japan. The analysis demonstrates the implications of the use ...
  • A coupled atmosphere-ocean model of intermediate complexity for climate change study 
    Kamenkovich, Igor V.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Stone, Peter H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2000-05)
  • The curious role of "learning" in climate policy : should we wait for more data? 
    Webster, Mort David. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2000-10)
    Given the large uncertainties regarding potential damages from climate change and the significant but also uncertain costs of reducing greenhouse emissions, the debate over a policy response is often framed as a choice of ...
  • The deep-ocean heat uptake in transient climate change 
    Huang, Boyin.; Stone, Peter H.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Kamenkovich, Igor V. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-09)
    The deep-ocean heat uptake (DOHU) in transient climate changes is studied using an ocean general circulation model (OGCM) and its adjoint. The model configuration consists of idealized Pacific and Atlantic basins. The model ...
  • Description and validation of the MIT version of GISS 2-D model 
    Sokolov, Andrei P.; Stone, Peter H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1995-06)
    A significant number of long-term climate change simulations are to be carried out in the Integrated Framework of the MIT Global Change Joint Program. Since Global Circulation Models (GCMs) require an enormous amount of ...
  • Designing a U.S. Market for CO2 
    Parsons, John E.; Ellerman, A. Denny; Feilhauer, Stephan M. (Stephan Marvin) (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-02)
    In this paper we focus on one component of the cap-and-trade system: the markets that arise for trading allowances after they have been allocated or auctioned. The efficient functioning of the market is key to the success ...
  • Developing country effects of Kyoto-type emissions restrictions 
    Babiker, Mustafa H.M.; Jacoby, Henry D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1999-10)
    Economic links among countries, through trade, will cause the effects of greenhouse-gas control measures taken by one set of nations to ripple through the international trade system, affecting countries that may not have ...
  • Development of a Fast and Detailed Model of Urban-Scale Chemical and Physical Processing 
    Prinn, Ronald G.; Cohen, Jason B. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-10)
    A reduced form metamodel has been produced to simulate the effects of physical, chemical, and meteorological processing of highly reactive trace species in hypothetical urban areas, which is capable of efficiently simulating ...
  • Directed Technical Change and Climate Policy 
    Otto, Vincent M.; Loeschel, Andreas; Reilly, John M. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2006-04)
    This paper studies the cost effectiveness of climate policy if there are technology externalities. For this purpose, we develop a forward-looking CGE model that captures empirical links between CO2 emissions associated ...
  • Directed Technical Change and the Adoption of CO2 Abatement Technology: The Case of CO2 Capture and Storage 
    Otto, Vincent M.; Reilly, John M. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2006-08)
    This paper studies the cost effectiveness of combining traditional environmental policy, such as CO2 trading schemes, and technology policy that has aims of reducing the cost and speeding the adoption of CO2 abatement ...
  • Distributional and Efficiency Impacts of Clean and Renewable Energy Standards for Electricity 
    Rausch, Sebastian; Mowers, Matthew (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-07-17)
    We examine the efficiency and distributional impacts of greenhouse gas policies directed toward the electricity sector in a model that links a “top-down” general equilibrium representation of the U.S. economy with a ...
  • Distributional Impacts of a U.S. Greenhouse Gas Policy: A General Equilibrium Analysis of Carbon Pricing 
    Paltsev, Sergey; Reilly, John M.; Metcalf, Gilbert E.; Rausch, Sebastian (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-11)
    We develop a new model of the U.S., the U.S. Regional Energy Policy (USREP) model that is resolved for large states and regions of the U.S. and by income class and apply the model to investigate a $15 per ton CO2 equivalent ...
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