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Browsing Center for Global Change Science by Issue Date

Research and Teaching Output of the MIT Community

Browsing Center for Global Change Science by Issue Date

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  • Integrated Economic and Climate Projections for Impact Assessment 
    Paltsev, Sergey; Monier, Erwan; Scott, Jeffery; Sokolov, Andrei; Reilly, John M. (MIT Joint Program, 2013-05)
    We designed scenarios for impact assessment that explicitly address policy choices and uncertainty in climate response. Economic projections and the resulting greenhouse gas emissions for the “no climate policy” scenario ...
  • Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Events in the United States: An Uncertainty Analysis 
    Monier, Erwan; Gao, Xiang (MIT Joint Program, 2013-05)
    Extreme weather and climate events, such as heat waves, droughts and severe precipitation events, have substantial impacts on ecosystems and the economy. However, future climate simulations display large uncertainty in ...
  • A Framework for Modeling Uncertainty in Regional Climate Change 
    Monier, Erwan; Gao, Xiang; Scott, Jeffery; Sokolov, Andrei; Schlosser, C. Adam (MIT Joint Program, 2013-05)
    In this study, we present a new modeling framework and a large ensemble of climate projections to investigate the uncertainty in regional climate change over the US associated with four dimensions of uncertainty. The sources ...
  • The Energy and CO2 Emissions Impact of Renewable Energy Development in China 
    Zhang, X.; Qi, T.; Karplus, V.J. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2013-04)
    China’s recently-adopted targets for developing renewable electricity—wind, solar, and biomass—would require expansion on an unprecedented scale in China and relative to existing global installations. An important question ...
  • Consumption-Based Adjustment of China's Emissions-Intensity Targets: An Analysis of its Potential Economic Effects 
    Springmann, M.; Zhang, D.; Karplus, V.J. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2013-03)
    China’s Twelfth Five-Year Plan (2011–2015) aims to achieve a national carbon intensity reduction of 17% through differentiated targets at the provincial level. Allocating the national target among China’s provinces is ...
  • Protection of Coastal Infrastructure under Rising Flood Risk 
    Lickley, M.J.; Lin, N.; Jacoby, H.D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2013-03)
    The 2005 hurricane season was particularly damaging to the United States, contributing to significant losses to energy infrastructure—much of it the result of flooding from storm surge during hurricanes Katrina and Rita. ...
  • Analysis of U.S. Water Resources under Climate Change 
    Blanc, E.; Strzepek, K.; Schlosser, C.A.; Jacoby, H.D.; Gueneau, A.; Fant, C.; Rausch, S.; Reilly, J.M. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2013-02)
    The MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM) framework, extended to include a Water Resource System (WRS) component, is applied to an integrated assessment of effects of alternative climate policy scenarios on U.S. water ...
  • Analyzing the Regional Impact of a Fossil Energy Cap in China 
    Zhang, D.; Karplus, V.; Rausch, S.; Zhang, X. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2013-01)
    Decoupling fossil energy demand from economic growth is crucial to China’s sustainable development. In addition to energy and carbon intensity targets enacted under the Twelfth Five-Year Plan (2011–2015), a coal or fossil ...
  • Market Cost of Renewable Jet Fuel Adoption in the United States 
    Winchester, N.; McConnachie, D.; Wollersheim, C.; Waitz, I.A. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2013-01)
    The US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has a goal that one billion gallons of renewable jet fuel is consumed by the US aviation industry each year from 2018. We examine the cost to US airlines of meeting this goal ...
  • Modeling Water Resource Systems under Climate Change: IGSM-WRS 
    Strzepek, K.; Schlosser, C.A.; Gueneau, A.; Gao, X.; Blanc, É.; Fant, C.; Rasheed, B.; Jacoby, H.D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-12)
    Through the integration of a Water Resource System (WRS) component, the MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM) framework has been enhanced to study the effects of climate change on managed water-resource systems. ...
  • Non-Nuclear, Low-Carbon, or Both? The Case of Taiwan 
    Chen, Y.-H. Henry (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-12)
    The Fukushima nuclear accident in Japan has renewed debates on the safety of nuclear power, possibly hurting the role of nuclear power in efforts to limit CO2 emissions. I develop a dynamic economy-wide model of Taiwan ...
  • Shale Gas Production: Potential versus Actual GHG Emissions 
    O'Sullivan, Francis; Paltsev, Sergey (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-11)
    Estimates of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from shale gas production and use are controversial. Here we assess the level of GHG emissions from shale gas well hydraulic fracturing operations in the United States during ...
  • Climate Co-benefits of Tighter SO2 and NOx Regulations in China 
    Nam, Kyung-Min; Waugh, Caleb J.; Paltsev, Sergey; Reilly, John M.; Karplus, Valerie J. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-10-01)
    Air pollution has been recognized as a significant problem in China. In its Twelfth Five Year Plan (FYP), China proposes to reduce SO2 and NOx emissions significantly, and here we investigate the cost of achieving those ...
  • The Future Energy and GHG Emissions Impact of Alternative Personal Transportation Pathways in China 
    Kishimoto, P.N.; Paltsev, S.; Karplus, V.J. (Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-10)
    A major uncertainty in future energy and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions projections for China is the evolution of demand for personal transportation modes. This paper explores the implications of divergent personal ...
  • Will Economic Restructuring in China Reduce Trade-Embodied CO2 Emissions? 
    Qi, Tianyu; Winchester, Niven; Karplus, Valerie J.; Zhang, Xiliang (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-10)
    We calculate CO2 emissions embodied in China’s net exports using a multi-regional input-output database. We find that the majority of China’s export-embodied CO2 is associated with production of machinery and equipment ...
  • Quantifying Regional Economic Impacts of CO2 Intensity Targets in China 
    Zhang, Da; Rausch, Sebastian; Karplus, Valerie; Zhang, Xiliang (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-09-01)
    To address rising energy use and CO2 emissions, China’s leadership has enacted energy and CO2 intensity targets under the Twelfth Five-Year Plan (2011–2015), which are defined at both the national and provincial levels. ...
  • CLM-AG: An Agriculture Module for the Community Land Model version 3.5 
    Gueneau, Arthur; Schlosser, C. Adam; Strzepek, Kenneth M.; Gao, Xiang; Monier, Erwan (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-09)
    It is estimated that 40% of all crops grown in the world today are grown using irrigation. As a consequence, shifting precipitation patterns due to climate change are viewed as a major threat to food security. This report ...
  • Impacts of Land Use and Biofuels Policy on Climate: Temperature and Localized Impacts 
    Hallgren, Willow; Schlosser, Adam; Monier, Erwan (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-08-06)
    The impact on climate of future land use and energy policy scenarios is explored using two landuse frameworks: (i) Pure Cost Conversion Response (PCCR), or 'extensification', where the price of land is the only constraint ...
  • Carbon Tax Revenue and the Budget Deficit: A Win-Win-Win Solution? 
    Rausch, Sebastian; Reilly, John (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-08)
    Bush-era tax cuts are scheduled to expire at the end of 2012, leading to interest in raising revenue through a carbon tax. This revenue could be used to either cut other taxes or to avoid cuts in Federal programs. There ...
  • The Economic, Energy, and GHG Emissions Impacts of Proposed 2017–2025 Vehicle Fuel Economy Standards in the United States 
    Karplus, Valerie; Paltsev, Sergey (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-07-31)
    Increases in the U.S. Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) Standards for 2017 to 2025 model year light-duty vehicles are currently under consideration. This analysis uses an economy-wide model with detail in the passenger ...
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