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Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China

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dc.contributor.author Jiang, H.
dc.contributor.author Ren, L.
dc.contributor.author Hansman, R. J.
dc.date.accessioned 2007-01-26T19:57:36Z
dc.date.available 2007-01-26T19:57:36Z
dc.date.issued 2003-11-17
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/35819
dc.description.abstract This paper describes an analysis of future air cargo demand in China and its implications for system infrastructure. By extrapolating current trends and evaluating government policies, China is projected to achieve sustained economic development over the next 20 years. Based on this assumption, a forecast for future air cargo demand is made for the period through 2020 using econometric methods. The forecast projects air cargo traffic growth at 11.2% per annum, expanding more than seven fold by 2020 – resulting in an expected 27 million tonnes cargo throughput originating from Chinese airports. A baseline forecast for the cargo throughput at the major hubs and large airports in mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan is presented. en
dc.description.sponsorship The authors would like to thank Mr. Boxue Wang at Aviation Industry Development Research Center of China for providing some 2002 CAAC data and R. Dixon Speas Fellowship for partially supporting the research. en
dc.format.extent 852656 bytes
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso en_US en
dc.relation.ispartofseries AIAA-2003-6770 en
dc.subject Air Cargo en
dc.subject China en
dc.subject air transportation en
dc.title Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China en
dc.type Technical Report en
dc.identifier.citation AIAA's 3rd Annual Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations (ATIO) Forum, Denver, Colorado, Nov. 17-19, 2003 en


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