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Uncertainty in the oceanic heat and carbon uptake and their impact on climate projections

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dc.contributor Sokolov, Andrei P. en_US
dc.contributor Wang, Chien. en_US
dc.contributor Holian, Gary L. en_US
dc.contributor Stone, Peter H. en_US
dc.contributor Prinn, Ronald G. en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2003-10-24T14:57:31Z
dc.date.available 2003-10-24T14:57:31Z
dc.date.issued 1997-09 en_US
dc.identifier.other no. 23 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://mit.edu/globalchange/www/abstracts.html#a23 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/3625
dc.description Includes bibliographical references (p. 5). en_US
dc.description Abstract in HTML and technical report in HTML and PDF available on the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change website (http://mit.edu/globalchange/www/) en_US
dc.description.abstract The impact of uncertainty in the rate of heat and carbon uptake by the deep ocean on climate response to increases in greenhouse gas concentrations is studied by means of numerical simulations with the two-dimensional climate-chemistry model developed in the framework of the MIT Global Change Joint Program. This model incorporates parameterizations of most physical processes, includes fully interactive atmospheric chemistry and calculates carbon uptake by the ocean and, therefore, simulates the main nonlinear interactions taking place in the climate system. At the same time, it is much more computationally efficient than coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models. Results of the simulations with calculated CO2 concentrations are compared with those of simulations with a prescribed CO2 increase. This comparison shows that the uncertainty in the increase in global mean surface temperature due to uncertainty in the rate of oceanic heat uptake is enhanced by taking into account the related uncertainty in oceanic carbon uptake, while the uncertainty in sea level rise is decreased. en_US
dc.format.extent 8 p. en_US
dc.format.extent 31262 bytes
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso eng en_US
dc.publisher MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries Report no. 22 en_US
dc.subject.lcc QC981.8.C5 M58 no.23 en_US
dc.title Uncertainty in the oceanic heat and carbon uptake and their impact on climate projections en_US


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