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Transient climate change and potential croplands of the world in the 21st century

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dc.contributor Xiao, Xiangming. en_US
dc.contributor Melillo, Jerry M. en_US
dc.contributor Kicklighter, David W. en_US
dc.contributor McGuire, A. David. en_US
dc.contributor Tian, Hanqin. en_US
dc.contributor Pan, Yude. en_US
dc.contributor Vörösmarty, Charles, J. en_US
dc.contributor Yang, Zili. en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2003-10-24T14:57:40Z
dc.date.available 2003-10-24T14:57:40Z
dc.date.issued 1997-05 en_US
dc.identifier.other no. 18 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://mit.edu/globalchange/www/abstracts.html#a18 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/3631
dc.description Includes bibliographical references (p. 9-12). en_US
dc.description Abstract in HTML and technical report in HTML and PDF available on the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change website (http://mit.edu/globalchange/www/). en_US
dc.description.abstract A cropland distribution model, which is based on climate, soil and topography, is applied to estimate the area and spatial distribution of global potential croplands under contemporary climate and to assess the effect of transient climate changes projected by the MIT Integrated Global System Model for assessment of climate change. The area of global potential croplands is about 32.91 x 10^6 km^2 under contemporary climate, and increases substantially over the period of 1977-2100 and differs among the three transient climate change predictions, being about +6.7% (2.20 x 10^6 km^2), +11.5% (3.78 x 10^6 km^2), and +12.5% (4.12 x 10^6 km^2) in 2100, respectively. Among twelve economic regions of the world, the Former Soviet Union and the Other OECD Countries regions have the largest increases in potential croplands, while developing countries have little increases in potential croplands. Spatial distribution of potential croplands changes considerably over time, dependent upon the transient climate change predictions. en_US
dc.description.sponsorship Supported by the Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (CE-S-462041), and the National Institute of Global Environmental Changes of the Department of Energy. No:901214-HAR Supported by the Earth Observing Systems Program of NASA. NAGW-2669 en_US
dc.format.extent 25 p. en_US
dc.format.extent 6055829 bytes
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso eng en_US
dc.publisher MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries Report no. 18 en_US
dc.subject.lcc QC981.8.C5 M58 no.18 en_US
dc.title Transient climate change and potential croplands of the world in the 21st century en_US


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