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Tackling uncertainty in airport design : a real options approach

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dc.contributor.advisor Richard de Neufville. en_US
dc.contributor.author Chambers, Richard-Duane en_US
dc.contributor.other Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Technology and Policy Program. en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2008-05-19T16:15:49Z
dc.date.available 2008-05-19T16:15:49Z
dc.date.copyright 2007 en_US
dc.date.issued 2007 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/41765
dc.description Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, Technology and Policy Program, 2007. en_US
dc.description Includes bibliographical references (p. 131-143). en_US
dc.description.abstract The airport industry is changing. Once understood as stand-alone public infrastructures, many modern airports now operate within privatized multi-airport systems and contend with previously unknown competitive pressures. As a result, many of the same airports which once enjoyed natural monopolies and government protections must now compete with secondary facilities both for airline patronage and for passenger traffic. Further, changes in the airline industry such as the success of the low-cost carrier, ongoing consolidation, and possible changes to the hub structure now threaten to impose new demands on airport services. In this environment, airport owners are being made to tackle not only significant uncertainty in traffic levels and passenger demand but also the sometimes conflicting needs of varying airline customers. By referencing the experiences of airports across Europe and the US, this paper seeks to highlight strategies for confronting these uncertainties. In particular, research conclusions focus on providing flexible responses that may prove useful given the continued growth of multi-airport systems, expansion of low-cost carriers, and associated industry restructuring. To this end, this thesis presents methodologies for evaluating the financial benefits which may be accrued through applying real options principles at new and developing airports. Two evaluative models, one focused on the construction of airport runway systems and the other on airport terminal design, are presented. Each model - as developed by the author - is designed to permit the simple application of economic and decision analyses in order to gauge the possibility of success in terms of airport cost, accessibility, and patronage. en_US
dc.description.abstract (cont.) The models are therefore particularly useful for the preliminary evaluation of various airport development strategies, especially within educational contexts. The development of a second major airport outside of Lisbon provides the central case study. en_US
dc.description.provenance Made available in DSpace on 2008-05-19T16:15:49Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 226294248.pdf: 84790105 bytes, checksum: 0947b3d7cd8e6ff2acec9326e219ae60 (MD5) 226294248-MIT.pdf: 84789917 bytes, checksum: 5e166faaae16bf4926f280b976e1db16 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2007 en
dc.description.statementofresponsibility by Richard-Duane Chambers. en_US
dc.format.extent 200 p. en_US
dc.language.iso eng en_US
dc.publisher Massachusetts Institute of Technology en_US
dc.rights M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. en_US
dc.rights.uri http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 en_US
dc.subject Technology and Policy Program. en_US
dc.title Tackling uncertainty in airport design : a real options approach en_US
dc.type Thesis en_US
dc.description.degree S.M. en_US
dc.contributor.department Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Technology and Policy Program. en_US
dc.identifier.oclc 226294248 en_US

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