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Bombs and ballots : estimating the effect of the Madrid bombings on the March 2004 general elections in Spain

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dc.contributor.advisor Jerry Hausman. en_US
dc.contributor.author Díez-Amigo, Sandro en_US
dc.contributor.other Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Economics. en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2008-09-03T15:32:10Z
dc.date.available 2008-09-03T15:32:10Z
dc.date.copyright 2008 en_US
dc.date.issued 2008 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/42395
dc.description Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics, 2008. en_US
dc.description Includes bibliographical references (p. 22). en_US
dc.description.abstract Whether or not the Madrid March 11th 2004 terrorist attacks affected the outcome of the Spanish general elections three days later has been the source of great controversy in the last years. This paper analyzes Spanish electoral data for the 2000 and 2004 Congressional elections, comparing the marginal effects of the proportion of voters who voted before the elections (and therefore, before the bombings in 2004) on the voting pattern in both years. A linear approach finds mild evidence that bombs undermined support for the incumbent conservative party and increased the share of the vote for the opposition socialists, similar to previous findings by Montalvo (2006) using a natural experiment design. A non-linear approach using binomial and multinomial logit models is not successful and yields no conclusive indications on how the attacks affected the outcome of the elections. en_US
dc.description.statementofresponsibility by Sandro Díez-Amigo. en_US
dc.format.extent 34 p. en_US
dc.language.iso eng en_US
dc.publisher Massachusetts Institute of Technology en_US
dc.rights M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. en_US
dc.rights.uri http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 en_US
dc.subject Economics. en_US
dc.title Bombs and ballots : estimating the effect of the Madrid bombings on the March 2004 general elections in Spain en_US
dc.title.alternative Estimating the effect of the Madrid bombings on the March 2004 general elections in Spain en_US
dc.type Thesis en_US
dc.description.degree S.M. en_US
dc.contributor.department Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Economics. en_US
dc.identifier.oclc 236207806 en_US


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