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Inscrutable OPEC? : behavioral tests of the cartel hypothesis

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dc.contributor.author Smith, James L. en_US
dc.contributor.other Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research. en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2009-04-03T17:05:28Z
dc.date.available 2009-04-03T17:05:28Z
dc.date.issued 2003 en_US
dc.identifier 2003-005 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/44998
dc.description.abstract We show that standard statistical tests of OPEC behavior have very low power across a wide range of alternative hypotheses regarding market structure. Consequently, it is difficult, given the current availability and precision of data on demand and costs, to distinguish collusive from competitive behavior in the world oil market. This, along with other factors, may account for the largely inconclusive nature of findings so far reported in the empirical literature on OPEC. We apply a new approach for examining alternative hypotheses and find strong evidence of cooperative behavior among OPEC members. Our results also suggest that OPEC₂s formal quota mechanism, introduced in 1982 to replace a system based on posted prices, increased transactions costs within the organization. We do not find strong evidence to support the view that Saudi Arabia has played the role of dominant producer within the cartel. en_US
dc.format.extent 40 p en_US
dc.publisher MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries MIT-CEEPR (Series) ; 03-005WP. en_US
dc.title Inscrutable OPEC? : behavioral tests of the cartel hypothesis en_US
dc.type Working Paper en_US
dc.identifier.oclc 53193054 en_US


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