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An analysis of battery electric vehicle production projections

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dc.contributor.advisor John B. Heywood. en_US
dc.contributor.author Cunningham, John Shamus en_US
dc.contributor.other Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Mechanical Engineering. en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2010-04-28T16:57:30Z
dc.date.available 2010-04-28T16:57:30Z
dc.date.issued 2009 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/54532
dc.description Thesis (S.B.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Mechanical Engineering, 2009. en_US
dc.description "June 2009." Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. en_US
dc.description Includes bibliographical references (p. 28-30). en_US
dc.description.abstract In mid 2008 and early 2009 Deutsche Bank and The Boston Consulting Group each released separate reports detailing projected Battery Electric Vehicle production through 2020. These reports both outlined scenarios in which BEVs gained significant market share (1-2%) by the end of the decade. To analyze the magnitude of the annual growth rates needed to obtain these sales figures, similar case studies were identified and evaluated. The transition from gasoline to diesel power in France between 1970 and 2005 (11% average annual growth) as well as the introduction of Hybrid Gasoline-Electric vehicles to the US (46% average annual growth) were selected as relevant points of comparison. Through a review of all major automotive manufacturers, as well as BEV-focused startups, press releases best case and worst case estimates for total BEV production in 2010 and 2011 were obtained. Using these figures it was determined that in a best case, near term production scenario annual production rates would need to average 35 to 40% annual growth over the next 10 years, and in a worst case near term production scenario would need to average in excess of 45% annual growth to reach production estimates. en_US
dc.description.statementofresponsibility by John Shamus Cunningham. en_US
dc.format.extent 30 p. en_US
dc.language.iso eng en_US
dc.publisher Massachusetts Institute of Technology en_US
dc.rights M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. en_US
dc.rights.uri http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 en_US
dc.subject Mechanical Engineering. en_US
dc.title An analysis of battery electric vehicle production projections en_US
dc.type Thesis en_US
dc.description.degree S.B. en_US
dc.contributor.department Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Mechanical Engineering. en_US
dc.identifier.oclc 565948939 en_US


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