| dc.contributor.author |
Reilly, John M. |
|
| dc.contributor.author |
Sarofim, Marcus C. |
|
| dc.contributor.author |
Paltsev, Sergey. |
|
| dc.contributor.author |
Prinn, Ronald G. |
|
| dc.date.accessioned |
2004-09-20T21:30:41Z |
|
| dc.date.available |
2004-09-20T21:30:41Z |
|
| dc.date.issued |
2004-08 |
|
| dc.identifier.uri |
http://mit.edu/globalchange/www/abstracts.html#a114 |
|
| dc.identifier.uri |
http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/5543 |
|
| dc.description |
Abstract in HTML and technical report in PDF available on the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change website (http://mit.edu/globalchange/www/). |
en |
| dc.description.abstract |
First steps toward a broad climate agreement, such as the Kyoto Protocol, have focused attention on agreement with less than global geographic coverage. We consider instead a policy that is less comprehensive in term of greenhouse gases (GHGs), including only the non-CO2 GHGs, but is geographically comprehensive. Abating non-CO2 GHGs may be seen as less of a threat to economic development and therefore it may be possible to involve developing countries in such a policy who have thus far resisted limits on CO2 emissions. The policy we consider involves a GHG price of about $15 per ton carbon-equivalent (tce) levied only on the non-CO2 GHGs and held at that level through the century. We estimate that such a policy would reduce the global mean surface temperature in 2100 by about 0.57 degrees C; application of this policy to methane alone would achieve a reduction of 0.3 to 0.4 degrees C. We estimate the Kyoto Protocol in its current form would achieve a 0.30 degrees C reduction in 2100 if all Annex B Parties except the US maintained it as is through the century. Furthermore, we estimate the costs of the non-CO2 policies to be a small fraction of the Kyoto restriction. Whether as a next step to expand the Kyoto Protocol, or as a separate initiative running parallel to it, the world could make substantial progress on limiting climate change by pursuing an agreement to abate the non-CO2 GHGs. The results suggest that it would be useful to proceed on global abatement of non-CO2 GHGs so that lack of progress on negotiations to limit CO2 does not allow these abatement opportunities to slip away. |
en |
| dc.description.provenance |
Submitted by Anne Slinn (slinn@mit.edu) on 2004-09-20T21:30:41Z
No. of bitstreams: 1
MITJPSPGC_Rpt114.pdf: 236424 bytes, checksum: 7115240d7f36a5259d62fba26d0c0af6 (MD5) |
en |
| dc.description.provenance |
Made available in DSpace on 2004-09-20T21:30:41Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
MITJPSPGC_Rpt114.pdf: 236424 bytes, checksum: 7115240d7f36a5259d62fba26d0c0af6 (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2004-08 |
en |
| dc.format.extent |
236424 bytes |
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| dc.format.mimetype |
application/pdf |
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| dc.language.iso |
en_US |
|
| dc.publisher |
MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change |
en |
| dc.relation.ispartofseries |
;Report no. 114 |
|
| dc.title |
The Role of Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gases in Climate Policy: Analysis Using the MIT IGSM |
en |
| dc.identifier.citation |
Report no. 114 |
en |
