Unit 7: Inference

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Schedule

  • Lecture 7
  • Recitation 8

Lecture Handouts

  • Lecture Notes
    • Chapter 8: Inference (PDF)
    • Chapter 9: Principle of Maximum Entropy: Simple Form (PDF)
  • Jaynes, E. T. "Information Theory and Statistical Mechanics." Physical Review 106, no. 4 (May 15, 1957): 620-630. (PDF - 2.2 MB)

Assignment

  • Problem Set 7 (PDF)
  • Problem Set 7 Solutions (PDF)

Resources

Technical

The person most responsible for use of maximum entropy principles in various fields of science is Edwin T. Jaynes (July 5, 1922 - April 30, 1998). 

  • Jaynes, E. T. "Information Theory and Statistical Mechanics." Physical Review 106, no. 4 (May 15, 1957): 620-630. (PDF - 2.2 MB)
    This is the seminal paper which really started the modern use of the Principle of Maximum Entropy in physics
  • ———. "Information Theory and Statistical Mechanics. II." Physical Review 108, no. 2 (October 15, 1957): 171-190. (PDF - 3.9 MB)
    Continuation of the previous reference.

Historical

Jaynes knew, of course, about Thomas Bayes and when on sabbatical in England sought out and photographed the Bayes tombstone.

Books

  • The philosophy of assuming maximum uncertainty is discussed in Chapter 3 of Tribus, M. Thermostatics and Thermodynamics. Princeton, NJ: D. Van Nostrand Co, Inc., 1961. ASIN: B000ARSH5S.
  • Another good explanation, in terms of estimating probabilities of an unfair die is in E. T. Jaynes, "Information Theory and Statistical Mechanics," pp. 181-218 in Statistical Physics. Brandeis Summer Institute 1962, W. A. Benjamin, Inc., New York, NY; 1963. (PDF)
  • Personal history by Jaynes, Edwin T. "Where Do We Stand on Maximum Entropy?" In The Maximum Entropy Formalism. Edited by Raphael D. Levine and Myron Tribus. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1978, pp. 15-118. ISBN: 0262120801. (PDF)