Economic outcomes predicted by diversity in cities
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13688_2020_Article_234.pdf
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Author(s)
Chong, Shi K
Bahrami, Mohsen
Chen, Hao
Balcisoy, Selim
Bozkaya, Burcin
Pentland, Alex ‘
Date Issued
June 24, 2020
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Citation
EPJ Data Science. 2020 Jun 24;9(1):17
Version
Final published version
Abstract
Abstract
Much recent work has illuminated the growth, innovation, and prosperity of entire cities, but there is relatively less evidence concerning the growth and prosperity of individual neighborhoods. In this paper we show that diversity of amenities within a city neighborhood, computed from openly available points of interest on digital maps, accurately predicts human mobility (“flows”) between city neighborhoods and that these flows accurately predict neighborhood economic productivity. Additionally, the diversity of consumption behaviour or the diversity of flows together with geographic centrality and population density accurately predicts neighborhood economic growth, even after controlling for standard factors such as population, etc. We develop our models using geo-located purchase data from Istanbul, and then validate the relationships using openly available data from Beijing and several U.S. cities. Our results suggest that the diversity of goods and services within a city neighborhood is the largest single factor driving both human mobility and economic growth.
MIT Department
MIT Connection Science (Research institute)
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Data, Systems, and Society
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
Terms of Use
Creative Commons Attribution
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-020-00234-x
