Scenario Planning for Strategic Regional Transportation Planning
Author(s)
Zegras, Pericles C
Sussman, Joseph M
Conklin, Christopher
Date Issued
March 2004
Journal
ASCE Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Publisher
American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)
Citation
Zegras, Christopher et al. "Scenario Planning for Strategic Regional Transportation Planning." Journal of Urban Planning and Development 130, 1 (March 2004): 2-13 © 2004 ASCE
Version
Author's final manuscript
Abstract
This paper proposes a framework for using business and organizational scenario-planning techniques for regional strategic transportation-planning purposes. The paper provides a brief history of scenario planning as it emerged from business-strategic planning activities and gives an overview of its goals and limitations. The paper then reviews the context for scenario planning in regional transportation planning as well as precedents of its application in this field. The paper continues with a presentation of a scenario-planning framework for transportation as refined and applied to the Houston metropolitan area. The major findings and lessons from this application are discussed, together with conclusions and observations regarding further potentials and refinements. Key Words: metropolitan transportation planning; scenario planning; forecasting; Houston, Texas
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Urban Studies and Planning
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture
Terms of Use
Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use.
Persistent DSpace Link
DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)0733-9488(2004)130:1(2)
