An aggregate model of petroleum production capacity and supply forecasting
Name
MIT-EL-79-005WP-06497490.pdf
Size
3.21 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
233e9c08b9e504f372d32355a39dc27e
Author(s)
Adelman, Morris Albert
Paddock, James Lester
Date Issued
1979
Publisher
MIT Energy Laboratory
Series/Report no.
MIT-EL
79-005WP
Abstract
This paper presents a complete discussion and documentation of the M.I.T.
World Oil Project Aggregate Supply Model. First, the theoretical
development and methodology are presented. The relationships between
geologic and economic characteristics are analyzed and a system of
equations representing the inertial process model are derived.
Next, the construction of the data is described and the data, by country
segment, is presented in detail. Methods of bridging the many gaps in
the data are discussed.
Finally, the simulation forecasts of the model are presented through 1990.
*This research has been supported by the National Science Foundation
under Grant No. DAR 78-19044. However, any opinions, findings,
conclusions or recommendations expressed herein are those of the authors
and do not necessarily reflect the views of NSF. The work also is
supported by the M.I.T. Center for Energy Policy Research.
We wish to thank the following individuals for their comments on
earlier drafts: P. Eckbo, H. Jacoby, R. Pindyck, J. Smith, and M.
Zimmerman. Also, for research assistance and help in data analysis we
thank J. Carson, W. Christian, D. McDonald, H. Owsley, G. Ward, and, in
particular, A. Sterling. For editing and typing we are grateful to S.
Mehta and A. Sanderson.
Subjects
Petroleum reserves.
Petroleum industry and trade |x Mathematical models.
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