Future Climate Scenarios for the Indus Basin
Name
Wescoat_Future Climate.pdf
Size
1.35 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
ea3740ee2fc70498a6c99e8f83c905f8
Author(s)
Yu, Winston
Yang, Yi-Chen
Savitsky, Andre
Alford, Donald
Brown, Casey
Wescoat, James
Debowicz, Dario
Robinson, Sherman
Date Issued
April 2013
Journal
The Indus Basin of Pakistan: The Impacts of Climate Risks on Water and Agriculture
Publisher
The World Bank
Citation
Yu, Winston, Yi-Chen Yang, Andre Savitsky, Donald Alford, Casey Brown, James Wescoat, Dario Debowicz, and Sherman Robinson. “Future Climate Scenarios for the Indus Basin.” The Impacts of Climate Risks on Water and Agriculture (April 18, 2013): 77–93. © International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank
Version
Final published version
Abstract
Examines the literature and available data on hydroclimatic variability and change on the Indus Basin plains, comparing historical fluctuations in climatic and hydrologic variables and reviewing scenarios of climate change derived from general circulation models (GCMs), including the generation of future scenarios of changing snow and ice melt in the Upper Indus Basin (IUB). Historical trends show statistically significant increasing temperatures and annual precipitation over the last century, and the general findings from a wide range of general circulation model (GCM) outputs show agreement among models regarding continued increases in temperature. Models regarding changes in precipitation (both in magnitude and direction) do not agree, but indicators do show a general trend in increased precipitation during the summer and a decrease during the winter, suggesting the primary impact on the UIB could be a shift in the timing of peak runoff and not a major change in annual volume.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture
Terms of Use
Creative Commons Attribution
Persistent DSpace Link
DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1596/9780821398746_CH04
