Transparency in the Paris Agreement
Name
MITJPSPGC_Rpt308.pdf
Size
975.28 KB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
cfcb62fc71087f4b843bd16cf2d9970e
Author(s)
Jacoby, H.D.
Chen, Y.-H.H.
Flannery, B.P.
Date Issued
February 2017
Publisher
MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
Citation
Report 308
Series/Report no.
MIT Joint Program Report Series;308
Abstract
Establishing a credible and effective transparency system will be both crucial and challenging for the climate regime based on the pledge and review process established in the Paris Agreement. The Agreement provides for review of achievements under national pledges (Nationally Determined Contributions, or NDCs), but much of this information will become available only well after key steps in the launch of this latest attempt to control human influence on the climate. Still, in these early years, information and understanding of individual and collective performance, and of relative national burdens under the NDCs, will play an important role in the success or failure of the Agreement. However, because of the phasing of various steps in the 5-year cycles under the Agreement and the unavoidable delays of two or more years to produce and review government reports, the Climate Convention and other intergovernmental institutions are ill-suited to carry out timely analyses of progress. Consequently, in advance of formal procedures, academic and other non-governmental groups are going to provide analyses based on available data and their own methodologies. We explore this transparency challenge, using the MIT Economic Projection and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, to construct sample analyses, and consider ways that efforts outside official channels can make an effective contribution to the success of the Agreement.
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