Why are allowance prices so low? : an analysis of the SO2 emissions trading program
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35721182.pdf
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1.96 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
15d84f2d9d200f8d3887641cb5d906b4
Author(s) •
Ellerman, A. Denny
Montero, Juan-Pablo
Date Issued
1996
Publisher
MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research
Series/Report no.
MIT-CEEPR (Series) ; 96-001WP.
Abstract
This paper presents an analysis of the reduction in SO2 emissions by electric utilities between 1985 and 1993. We find that emissions have been reduced for reasons largely unrelated to the emission reduction mandate incorporated in Title IV of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments. The principal reason appears to be the change in the economics of coal choice that has resulted from the remarkable decline in rail rates for low sulfur western coal delivered to higher sulfur coal-fired plants in the Midwest. We conclude that allowance prices are lower than expected because less sulfur must be removed to meet the Title IV caps on aggregate SO2 emissions.
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