Are Investors the Bad Guys? Tenure and Neighborhood Stability in Chelsea, Massachusetts
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Fisher_Are investors.pdf
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Author(s) •
Fisher, Lynn M.
Lambie-Hanson, Lauren Skiles
Date Issued
December 2011
Journal
Real Estate Economics
Publisher
Wiley Blackwell
Citation
Fisher, Lynn M., and Lauren Lambie-Hanson. “Are Investors the Bad Guys? Tenure and Neighborhood Stability in Chelsea, Massachusetts.” Real Estate Economics 40.2 (2012): 351–386.
Version
Author's final manuscript
Abstract
In this article, we examine the role of investors and occupant-owners in an urban context during the recent housing crisis. We focus on Chelsea, Massachusetts, because it is a dense city, dominated by multifamily housing structures with high rates of foreclosure for which we have particularly good data. We distinguish between occupant-owners and investors using local data, and we find that many investors are misclassified as occupant-owners in the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act data. Then, employing a competing risks framework to study ownerships during the period 1998 through mid-2010, we find that local investors, who tend to invest more in relation to purchase prices and sell more quickly, experienced approximately 1.8 times the mortgage foreclosure risk of occupant-owners, conditional on financing. Nonlocal investors have no statistically significant difference in foreclosure risk from occupant-owners. Nonetheless, those owners with subprime purchase mortgages (most of whom are occupant-owners) faced the highest foreclosure risk when house prices fell.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Urban Studies and Planning
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Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6229.2011.00317.x