An assessment of uncertainty due to adversary mobility
Name
931704090-MIT.pdf
Description
Full printable version
Size
4.84 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
af1678f21a02777b8cac8300eca8a917
Author(s)
Fulchino, Matthew T
Advisor(s)
James M. Utterback.
Date Issued
2015
Publisher
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Abstract
Uncertainty related to an adversary's tactics, techniques, and procedures is often difficult to characterize, particularly during the period immediately before a conflict, when planning for a face-to-face confrontation with a combatant. Adversarial freedom of maneuver and the fixed nature of asset defense leaves limited room for error or half-assessments, yet past analysis of regional defendability presumes a static, symmetric adversary, rather than a nimble, cunning one. This thesis examines historical events to identify the source of uncertainty with respect to defensive operations, and proposes that an alternative measure of performance be evaluated to fully characterize the effectiveness and limitations of defensive elements in the face of a determined peer.
Description
Thesis: S.M. in Engineering and Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, System Design and Management Program, 2015..
Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 47-50).
Subjects
Engineering Systems Division.
System Design and Management Program.
MIT Department
System Design and Management Program.
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division
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