Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
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Author(s) • • • • • • •
Santer, Benjamin D.
Solomon, Susan
Wentz, Frank J.
Fu, Qiang
Po-Chedley, Stephen
Mears, Carl
Painter, Jeffrey F.
Bonfils, Céline
Date Issued
May 2017
Journal
Scientific Reports
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group
Citation
Santer, Benjamin D. et al. “Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades.” Scientific Reports 7, 1 (May 2017): 2336 © 2017 The Author(s)
Version
Final published version
Abstract
Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a "leveling off of warming" over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising from natural internal variability. Over the full 38-year period of the satellite record, the separation between observed warming and internal variability estimates is even clearer. In two out of three recent satellite datasets, the tropospheric warming from 1979 to 2016 is unprecedented relative to internally generated temperature trends on the 38-year timescale.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1038/S41598-017-02520-7