Quantifying the average and the likelihood of increases in space weather indices and in situ measurements during Solar Cycles 20-23
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2014-IJSpaceSE Lohmeyer.pdf
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920.87 KB
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Author(s)
Lohmeyer, Whitney Quinne
Pang, Anthony
Cahoy, Kerri
Shprits, Yuri
Date Issued
January 2014
Journal
International Journal of Space Science and Engineering
Publisher
Inderscience Publishers
Citation
Lohmeyer, Whitney Q. et al. “Quantifying the Average and the Likelihood of Increases in Space Weather Indices and in Situ Measurements During Solar Cycles 20-23.” International Journal of Space Science and Engineering 1, 3 (2013): 230
Version
Author's final manuscript
Abstract
It is known that space weather harshly affects spacecraft performance, yet spacecraft operations and understanding the cause of anomalies can be challenging due to the complexity of environmental metrics. In this work, we analyse five metrics and in-situ measurements (Kp, Dst, and AE index, and high-energy proton and electron flux) throughout Solar Cycles 20-23 (1964 to 2008), and provide a baseline for the environment during the phases of the solar cycles (maximum, minimum, declining or ascending). We define increased activity as activity greater than two median absolute deviations (MADs) above the average activity for each phase. MAD is used, rather than standard deviation, because it is more resilient to outliers. The average and MAD values are tabulated in Table 3 to Table 6. We determine the probability that increased activity occurs 3, 14 or 30 days before a random day to distinguish between increased/quiet activities and to aid in correlating intensifications of the environment and anomalous satellite performance.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Terms of Use
Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike
Persistent DSpace Link
DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1504/IJSPACESE.2013.058856
