Promises in Air‐Sea Fully Coupled Data Assimilation for Future Hurricane Prediction
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Accepted version
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491.23 KB
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Author(s)
Zhang, Fuqing
Emanuel, Kerry Andrew
Date Issued
December 2018
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Citation
Zhang, Fuqing and Kerry Emanuel. "Promises in Air‐Sea Fully Coupled Data Assimilation for Future Hurricane Prediction." Geophysical Research Letters 45, 23 (December 2018): 13,173-13,177 © 2018 American Geophysical Union
Version
Author's final manuscript
Abstract
The recent article by Li and Toumi (2018, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079677) published in Geophysical Research Letters explored the potential for improving tropical cyclone intensity forecasts by assimilating synthetic coastal surface currents from high-frequency radar observations. Although it is an idealized study using simulated observations, this may signal the beginning of a new frontier in future hurricane prediction through ingesting in situ and remotely sensed observations of oceanic currents into fully coupled systems. Assimilation of oceanic observations can improve not only the state estimation of both oceanic and atmospheric variables but it also has the potential to better estimate uncertain model physics' parameters such as the air-sea exchange coefficients.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
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Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike
Persistent DSpace Link
DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl080970
