Policy Preferences and Policy Change: Dynamic Responsiveness in the American States, 1936–2014
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DynamicResponsiveness_170627.pdf
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1.31 MB
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Adobe PDF
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Author(s)
Caughey, Devin
Warshaw, Christopher S
Date Issued
May 2018
Journal
American Political Science Review
Publisher
Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Citation
Caughey, Devin, and Christopher Warshaw. “Policy Preferences and Policy Change: Dynamic Responsiveness in the American States, 1936–2014.” American Political Science Review 112, 2 (November 2017): 249–266 © 2017 American Political Science Association 2017
Version
Author's final manuscript
Abstract
Using eight decades of data, we examine the magnitude, mechanisms, and moderators of dynamic responsiveness in the American states. We show that on both economic and (especially) social issues, the liberalism of state publics predicts future change in state policy liberalism. Dynamic responsiveness is gradual, however; large policy shifts are the result of the cumulation of incremental responsiveness over many years. Partisan control of government appears to mediate only a fraction of responsiveness, suggesting that, contrary to conventional wisdom, responsiveness occurs in large part through the adaptation of incumbent officials. Dynamic responsiveness has increased over time but does not seem to be influenced by institutions such as direct democracy or campaign finance regulations. We conclude that our findings, though in some respects normatively ambiguous, on the whole paint a reassuring portrait of statehouse democracy.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Political Science
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Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055417000533
