Quantifying the average and the likelihood of increases in space weather indices and in situ measurements during Solar Cycles 20–23
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2014-IJSpaceSE Lohmeyer.pdf
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Author(s)
Lohmeyer, Whitney Q.
Pang, Anthony
Cahoy, Kerry
Shprits, Yuri
Date Issued
January 2013
Publisher
International Journal of Space Science and Engineering
Citation
Lohmeyer, W. Q., Pang, A., Cahoy, K., & Shprits, Y. (2013). Quantifying the average and the likelihood of increases in space weather indices and in situ measurements during Solar Cycles 20–23. International Journal Of Space Science And Engineering, 1(3), 230.
Abstract
It is known that space weather harshly affects spacecraft performance, yet spacecraft operations and understanding the cause of anomalies can be challenging due to the complexity of environmental metrics. In this work, we analyse five metrics and in-situ measurements (Kp, Dst, and AE index, and high-energy proton and electron flux) throughout Solar Cycles 20–23 (1964 to 2008), and provide a baseline for the environment during the phases of the solar cycles (maximum, minimum, declining or ascending). We define increased activity as activity greater than two median absolute deviations (MADs) above the average activity for each phase. MAD is used, rather than standard deviation, because it is more resilient to outliers. The average and MAD values are tabulated in Table 3 to Table 6. We determine the probability that increased activity occurs 3, 14 or 30 days before a random day to distinguish between increased/quiet activities and to aid in correlating intensifications of the environment and anomalous satellite performance.
Subjects
satellite anomalies
radiation effects
space weather indices
space weather measurements
MIT Department
Space Telecommunications Astronomy and Radiation (STAR) Lab
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Persistent DSpace Link
