Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II
Name
Prinn_Impact of Aviation.pdf
Size
3.52 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
e386f200fb08db1fc8ca8a6dd2648be8
Author(s)
Barrett, Steven R. H.
Prinn, Ronald G
Sokolov, Andrei P
Wolfe, Philip James
Date Issued
May 2016
Journal
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Citation
Brasseur, Guy P. et al. “Impact of Aviation on Climate: FAA’s Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI) Phase II.” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97.4 (2016): 561–583. © 2016 American Meteorological Society
Version
Final published version
Abstract
Under the Federal Aviation Administration’s (FAA) Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI), non-CO[subscript 2] climatic impacts of commercial aviation are assessed for current (2006) and for future (2050) baseline and mitigation scenarios. The effects of the non-CO[subscript 2] aircraft emissions are examined using a number of advanced climate and atmospheric chemistry transport models. Radiative forcing (RF) estimates for individual forcing effects are provided as a range for comparison against those published in the literature. Preliminary results for selected RF components for 2050 scenarios indicate that a 2% increase in fuel efficiency and a decrease in NO[subscript x] emissions due to advanced aircraft technologies and operational procedures, as well as the introduction of renewable alternative fuels, will significantly decrease future aviation climate impacts. In particular, the use of renewable fuels will further decrease RF associated with sulfate aerosol and black carbon. While this focused ACCRI program effort has yielded significant new knowledge, fundamental uncertainties remain in our understanding of aviation climate impacts. These include several chemical and physical processes associated with NO[subscript x]–O[subscript 3]–CH[subscript 4] interactions and the formation of aviation-produced contrails and the effects of aviation soot aerosols on cirrus clouds as well as on deriving a measure of change in temperature from RF for aviation non-CO[subscript 2] climate impacts—an important metric that informs decision-making.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Global Change Science
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Terms of Use
Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use.
Persistent DSpace Link
DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-13-00089.1
