Robust confidence sets in the presence of weak instruments
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Mikusheva_Robust confidence.pdf
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320.3 KB
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Author(s)
Mikusheva, Anna
Date Issued
January 2010
Journal
Journal of Econometrics
Publisher
Elsevier
Citation
Mikusheva, Anna. “Robust confidence sets in the presence of weak instruments.” Journal of Econometrics 157.2 (2010): 236-247.
Version
Author's final manuscript
Abstract
This paper considers instrumental variable regression with a single endogenous variable and the potential presence of weak instruments. I construct confidence sets for the coefficient on the single endogenous regressor by inverting tests robust to weak instruments. I suggest a numerically simple algorithm for finding the Conditional Likelihood Ratio (CLR) confidence sets. Full descriptions of possible forms of the CLR, Anderson–Rubin (AR) and Lagrange Multiplier (LM) confidence sets are given. I show that the CLR confidence sets have nearly the shortest expected arc length among similar symmetric invariant confidence sets in a circular model. I also prove that the CLR confidence set is asymptotically valid in a model with non-normal errors.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Terms of Use
Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2009.12.003