Bandit Problems under Censored Feedback
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guinet-gguinet-sm-orc-2022-thesis.pdf
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Thesis PDF
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2.01 MB
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Author(s)
Guinet, Gauthier Marc Benoit
Advisor(s)
Amin, Saurabh
Jaillet, Patrick
Date Issued
September 2022
Publisher
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Abstract
In this thesis, we study sequential decision-making models where the feedback received by the principal depends on strategic uncertainty (e.g., agents’ willingness to follow a recommendation) and/or random uncertainty (e.g., loss or delay in arrival of information). Such challenges often arise in AI-driven platforms, with applications in recommender systems, revenue management or transportation. We model and study this class of problems through the lens of multi-armed and contextual bandits evolving in censored environments. Our goal is to estimate the performance loss due to censorship in the context of classical algorithms designed for uncensored environments. Our main contributions include the introduction of a broad class of censorship models and their analysis in terms of the effective dimension of the problem – a natural measure of its underlying statistical complexity and main driver of the regret bound. In particular, the effective dimension allows us to maintain the structure of the original problem at first order, while embedding it in a bigger space, and thus naturally leads to results analogous to uncensored settings. Our analysis involves a continuous generalization of the Elliptical Potential Inequality, which we believe is of independent interest. We also discover an interesting property of decision-making under censorship: a transient phase during which initial misspecification of censorship is self-corrected at an extra cost; followed by a stationary phase that reflects the inherent slowdown of learning governed by the effective dimension.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Operations Research Center
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