Estimation of state-transition probability matrices in asynchronous population Markov processes
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Asada_Estimation of state-transition.pdf
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Author(s) •
Farahat, Waleed A.
Asada, Harry
Date Issued
July 2010
Journal
Proceedings of the American Control Conference (ACC), 2010
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Citation
Farahat, Waleed A. & Asada, H. "Estimation of state-transition probability matrices in asynchronous population Markov processes." American Control Conference (ACC) 2010 (2010): 6519-6524. © 2010 IEEE
Version
Final published version
Abstract
We address the problem of estimating the probability transition matrix of an asynchronous vector Markov process from aggregate (longitudinal) population observations. This problem is motivated by estimating phenotypic state transitions probabilities in populations of biological cells, but can be extended to multiple contexts of populations of Markovian agents. We adopt a Bayesian estimation approach, which can be computationally expensive if exact marginalization is employed. To compute the posterior estimates efficiently, we use Monte Carlo simulations coupled with Gibb's sampling techniques that explicitly incorporate sampling constraints from the desired distributions. Such sampling techniques can attain significant computational advantages. Illustration of the algorithm is provided via simulation examples.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Mechanical Engineering
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DOI of Published Version
http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpls/abs_all.jsp?arnumber=5531431