Modeling Disease Severity in Multiple Sclerosis Using Electronic Health Records
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Xia-2013-Modeling Disease Sev.pdf
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Author(s) • • • • • • • • •
Xia, Zongqi
Secor, Elizabeth
Chibnik, Lori B.
Bove, Riley M.
Cheng, Suchun
Chitnis, Tanuja
Cagan, Andrew
Gainer, Vivian
Chen, Pei
Liao, Katherine P.
Date Issued
November 2013
Journal
PLoS ONE
Publisher
Public Library of Science
Citation
Xia, Zongqi, Elizabeth Secor, Lori B. Chibnik, Riley M. Bove, Suchun Cheng, Tanuja Chitnis, Andrew Cagan, et al. “Modeling Disease Severity in Multiple Sclerosis Using Electronic Health Records.” Edited by Wang Zhan. PLoS ONE 8, no. 11 (November 11, 2013): e78927.
Version
Final published version
Abstract
Objective:
To optimally leverage the scalability and unique features of the electronic health records (EHR) for research that would ultimately improve patient care, we need to accurately identify patients and extract clinically meaningful measures. Using multiple sclerosis (MS) as a proof of principle, we showcased how to leverage routinely collected EHR data to identify patients with a complex neurological disorder and derive an important surrogate measure of disease severity heretofore only available in research settings.
Methods:
In a cross-sectional observational study, 5,495 MS patients were identified from the EHR systems of two major referral hospitals using an algorithm that includes codified and narrative information extracted using natural language processing. In the subset of patients who receive neurological care at a MS Center where disease measures have been collected, we used routinely collected EHR data to extract two aggregate indicators of MS severity of clinical relevance multiple sclerosis severity score (MSSS) and brain parenchymal fraction (BPF, a measure of whole brain volume).
Results:
The EHR algorithm that identifies MS patients has an area under the curve of 0.958, 83% sensitivity, 92% positive predictive value, and 89% negative predictive value when a 95% specificity threshold is used. The correlation between EHR-derived and true MSSS has a mean R[superscript 2] = 0.38±0.05, and that between EHR-derived and true BPF has a mean R[superscript 2] = 0.22±0.08. To illustrate its clinical relevance, derived MSSS captures the expected difference in disease severity between relapsing-remitting and progressive MS patients after adjusting for sex, age of symptom onset and disease duration (p = 1.56×10[superscript −12]).
Conclusion:
Incorporation of sophisticated codified and narrative EHR data accurately identifies MS patients and provides estimation of a well-accepted indicator of MS severity that is widely used in research settings but not part of the routine medical records. Similar approaches could be applied to other complex neurological disorders.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Laboratory for Computer Science
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0078927