Risks of Coastal Storm Surge and the Effect of Sea Level Rise in the Red River Delta, Vietnam
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Risks of coastal storm.pdf
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5.42 MB
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Author(s) • • • •
Neumann, James
Ludwig, Lindsay
Verly, Caroleen
Emanuel, Kerry Andrew
Ravela, Sai
Date Issued
May 2015
Journal
Sustainability
Publisher
MDPI AG
Citation
Neumann, James et al. “Risks of Coastal Storm Surge and the Effect of Sea Level Rise in the Red River Delta, Vietnam.” Sustainability 7.6 (2015): 6553–6572.
Version
Final published version
Abstract
This paper considers the impact of sea level rise and storm surge on the Red River delta region of Vietnam. Permanently inundated lands and temporary flood zones are analyzed by combining sea level rise scenarios for 2050 with simulated storm surge levels for the 100-year event. Our analysis finds that sea level rise through 2050 could increase the effective frequency of the current 100-year storm surge, which is associated with a storm surge of roughly five meters, to once every 49 years. Approximately 10% of the Hanoi region’s GDP is vulnerable to permanent inundation due to sea level rise, and more than 40% is vulnerable to periodic storm surge damage consistent with the current 100-year storm. We conclude that coastal adaptation measures, such as a planned retreat from the sea, and construction of a more substantial seawall and dike system, are needed to respond to these threats.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Terms of Use
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.3390/su7066553