Climate change exacerbates hurricane flood hazards along US Atlantic and Gulf Coasts in spatially varying patterns
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s41467-019-11755-z.pdf
Description
Published version
Size
2.24 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
32679fb666ec4280614dcce7fa4dcbae
Author(s)
Emanuel, Kerry
Date Issued
August 22, 2019
Journal
Nature communications
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Citation
Marsooli, Reza et al. "Climate change exacerbates hurricane flood hazards along US Atlantic and Gulf Coasts in spatially varying patterns." Nature communications 10 (2019): 1038 © 2019 The Author(s)
Version
Final published version
Abstract
One of the most destructive natural hazards, tropical cyclone (TC)–induced coastal flooding, will worsen under climate change. Here we conduct climatology–hydrodynamic modeling to quantify the effects of sea level rise (SLR) and TC climatology change (under RCP 8.5) on late 21st century flood hazards at the county level along the US Atlantic and Gulf Coasts. We find that, under the compound effects of SLR and TC climatology change, the historical 100-year flood level would occur annually in New England and mid-Atlantic regions and every 1–30 years in southeast Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico regions in the late 21st century. The relative effect of TC climatology change increases continuously from New England, mid-Atlantic, southeast Atlantic, to the Gulf of Mexico, and the effect of TC climatology change is likely to be larger than the effect of SLR for over 40% of coastal counties in the Gulf of Mexico.
Subjects
General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
General Physics and Astronomy
General Chemistry
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Terms of Use
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license
Persistent DSpace Link
DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-11755-z
