Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China
Name
ChinaCargo.pdf
Size
832.67 KB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
7c81ca65390f0741ab87de9880c6d45c
Author(s)
Jiang, H.
Ren, L.
Hansman, R. J.
Date Issued
November 17, 2003
Citation
AIAA's 3rd Annual Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations (ATIO) Forum, Denver, Colorado, Nov. 17-19, 2003
Series/Report no.
AIAA-2003-6770
Abstract
This paper describes an analysis of future air cargo
demand in China and its implications for system
infrastructure. By extrapolating current trends and
evaluating government policies, China is projected to
achieve sustained economic development over the next
20 years. Based on this assumption, a forecast for
future air cargo demand is made for the period through
2020 using econometric methods. The forecast projects
air cargo traffic growth at 11.2% per annum, expanding
more than seven fold by 2020 – resulting in an expected
27 million tonnes cargo throughput originating from
Chinese airports. A baseline forecast for the cargo
throughput at the major hubs and large airports in
mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan is presented.
Subjects
Air Cargo
China
air transportation
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