Sensitivity of model output statistics on the Lorenz system
Name
608065085-MIT.pdf
Description
Full printable version
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9.17 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
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d902d1962150e4918b7ab97692691723
Author(s)
Coblenz, Joshua S
Advisor(s)
Kerry Andrew Emanuel.
Date Issued
2009
Publisher
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Abstract
This project studies the sensitivity of model output statistics (or MOS) in numerical weather prediction to lead times and parameters. In order to study MOS in an idealized setting, I use the simplified Lorenz system of differential equations as the physical model to explore the sensitivity of linear MOS in this non-linear system. MOS finds a statistical relationship between imperfect model variables and true variables using linear regression. The effect on the forecast error of lead time and parameter perturbation are investigated.
Description
Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, 2009.
Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (p. 23).
Subjects
Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
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copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but
reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written
permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission.
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