Uncertainties in the evolution of stratospheric ozone and implications for recent temperature changes in the tropical lower stratosphere
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Author(s) • •
Solomon, Susan
Young, Paul J.
Hassler, Birgit
Date Issued
September 2012
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
Citation
Solomon, Susan, Paul J. Young, and Birgit Hassler. “Uncertainties in the Evolution of Stratospheric Ozone and Implications for Recent Temperature Changes in the Tropical Lower Stratosphere.” Geophysical Research Letters 39.17 (2012): L17706, 4pp. Web. ©2012 American Geophysical Union.
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Final published version
Abstract
Observations from satellites and balloons suggest that ozone abundances have decreased in the tropical lower stratosphere since the late 1970s, but this long-term change is occurring in a region of large interannual variability. Three different ozone databases provide regression fits to the ozone observations, and are available for use in model studies of the influence of ozone changes on stratospheric and tropospheric temperatures. Differences between these ozone databases suggest that the estimated decreases of tropical lower stratospheric ozone in recent decades are uncertain by about a factor of two to three. The uncertainties in ozone decreases lead to similar uncertainties in cooling of the tropical lower stratosphere, a key area of focus in climate change studies.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
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Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use.
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl052723