Analytic framework for TRL-based cost and schedule models
Name
836717373-MIT.pdf
Description
Full printable version
Size
17.87 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
20d00340b18a3c74830d6e4e7101e50d
Author(s)
El-Khoury, Bernard
Advisor(s)
C. Robert Kenley and Deborah Nightingale.
Alternative Title
Analytic framework for Technology Readiness Level-based cost and schedule models
Date Issued
2012
Publisher
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Abstract
Many government agencies have adopted the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) scale to help improve technology development management under ever increasing cost, schedule, and complexity constraints. Many TRL-based cost and schedule models have been developed to monitor technology maturation, mitigate program risk, characterize TRL transition times, or model schedule and cost risk for individual technologies as well technology systems and portfolios. In this thesis, we develop a 4-level classification of TRL models based on the often-implicit assumptions they make. For each level, we clarify the assumption, we list all supporting theoretical and empirical evidence, and then we use the same assumption to propose alternative or improved models whenever possible. Our results include a justification of the GAO's recommendations on TRL, two new methodologies for robust estimation of transition variable medians and for forecasting TRL transition variables using historical data, and a set of recommendations for TRL-based regression models.
Description
Thesis (S.M. in Technology and Policy)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, 2012.
Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (p. 142-148).
Subjects
Engineering Systems Division.
Technology and Policy Program.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division
Terms of Use
M.I.T. theses are protected by
copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but
reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written
permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission.
copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but
reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written
permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission.
Persistent DSpace Link
