Non-Gaussian Chance-Constrained Trajectory Planning for Autonomous Vehicles Under Agent Uncertainty
Name
2002.10999.pdf
Description
Accepted version
Size
4.94 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
95eaa4160fed42d999c25dd8e2243afd
Author(s) • •
Wang, Allen
Jasour, Ashkan
Williams, Brian C
Date Issued
2020
Journal
IEEE Robotics and Automation Letters
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Version
Author's final manuscript
Abstract
© 2016 IEEE. Agent behavior is arguably the greatest source of uncertainty in trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles. This problem has motivated significant amounts of work in the behavior prediction community on learning rich distributions of the future states and actions of agents. However, most current works on chance-constrained trajectory planning under agent or obstacle uncertainty either assume Gaussian uncertainty or linear constraints, which is limiting, or requires sampling, which can be computationally intractable to encode in an optimization problem. In this letter, we extend the state-of-the-art by presenting a methodology to upper-bound chance-constraints defined by polynomials and mixture models with potentially non-Gaussian components. Our method achieves its generality by using statistical moments of the distributions in concentration inequalities to upper-bound the probability of constraint violation. With this method, optimization-based trajectory planners can plan trajectories that are chance-constrained with respect to a wide range of distributions representing predictions of agent future positions. In experiments, we show that the resulting optimization problem can be solved with state-of-the-art nonlinear program solvers to plan trajectories fast enough for use online.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory
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Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1109/LRA.2020.3010755