Quantitative Policy Analysis for Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production Technologies
Name
fenrg-09-751722.pdf
Description
Published version
Size
1.29 MB
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Adobe PDF
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Author(s) • • • • • • •
Wang, Z Juju
Staples, Mark D
Tyner, Wallace E
Zhao, Xin
Malina, Robert
Olcay, Hakan
Allroggen, Florian
Barrett, Steven RH
Date Issued
2021
Journal
Frontiers in Energy Research
Publisher
Frontiers Media SA
Citation
Wang, Z Juju, Staples, Mark D, Tyner, Wallace E, Zhao, Xin, Malina, Robert et al. 2021. "Quantitative Policy Analysis for Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production Technologies." Frontiers in Energy Research, 9.
Version
Final published version
Abstract
This paper quantifies the impact of different policy options on the economic viability of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production technologies. The pathways considered include isobutanol to jet from corn grain, hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids (HEFA) from inedible fats and oils, HEFA from palm fatty acid distillate, synthesized iso-paraffins from sugarcane, Fischer-Tropsch (FT) gasification and synthesis from municipal solid waste, and micro FT from wood residues. The policies considered include feedstock subsidies, capital grants, output based incentives, and two policies intended to reduce project risk. Stochastic techno-economic analysis models are used to quantify the policies’ impact on project net present value and minimum selling price of the middle distillate fuel products. None of the technology pathways studied are found to be financially viable without policy aid. The median total policy costs required for economic viability range from 35 to 337 million USD per production facility, or 0.07–0.71 USD/liter. Our results indicate that the cumulative impact of multiple policies, similar in magnitude to analogous real-world fuel policies, could result in economically viable SAF production.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Laboratory for Aviation and the Environment
Terms of Use
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.3389/FENRG.2021.751722