Estimating Real Estate Price Movements for High Frequency Tradable Indexes in a Scarce Data Environment
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Geltner Estimating Real Estate Price Movements.pdf
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Author(s) •
Bokhari, Sheharyar
Geltner, David M.
Date Issued
July 2010
Journal
Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics
Publisher
Springer Science + Business Media B.V.
Citation
Bokhari, Sheharyar and David Geltner. “Estimating Real Estate Price Movements for High Frequency Tradable Indexes in a Scarce Data Environment.” The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics (2010) : 1-22.
Version
Author's final manuscript
Abstract
Indexes of commercial property prices face much scarcer transactions data
than housing indexes, yet the advent of tradable derivatives on commercial property
places a premium on both high frequency and accuracy of such indexes. The
dilemma is that with scarce data a low-frequency return index (such as annual) is
necessary to accumulate enough sales data in each period. This paper presents an
approach to address this problem using a two-stage frequency conversion procedure,
by first estimating lower-frequency indexes staggered in time, and then applying a
generalized inverse estimator to convert from lower to higher frequency return
series. The two-stage procedure can improve the accuracy of high-frequency indexes
in scarce data environments. In this paper the method is demonstrated and analyzed
by application to empirical commercial property repeat-sales data.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Urban Studies and Planning
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DOI of Published Version
http://www.springerlink.com/content/uxl087168u781086/