On Estimating the Size and Confidence of a Statistical Audit
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vtp_wp54.pdf
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Author(s) • •
Rivest, Ronald L.
Popa, Raluca A.
Aslam, Javed A.
Date Issued
April 22, 2007
Publisher
Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project
Series/Report no.
VTP Working Paper Series;54
Abstract
We consider the problem of statistical sampling for auditing elections, and we develop a remarkably simple and easily-calculated upper bound for the sample size necessary for determining with probability at least c whether a given set of n objects contains b or more “bad” objects. While the size of the optimal sample drawn without replacement can be determined with a computer program, our goal is to derive a highly accurate and simple formula that can be used by election officials equipped with only a simple calculator.
Subjects
Statistical audit
Statistical sampling
Auditing elections
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