100 Years of Progress in Tropical Cyclone Research
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amsmonographs-d-18-0016.1.pdf
Description
Published version
Size
6.11 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
42bfc09091972f75def001dabb938d61
Author(s)
Emanuel, Kerry Andrew
Date Issued
January 2018
Journal
Meteorological Monographs
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Citation
Emanuel, Kerry. "100 Years of Progress in Tropical Cyclone Research." Meteorological Monographs 59 (January 2018): 15.1-15.68. © 2018 American Meteorological Society
Version
Final published version
Abstract
A century ago, meteorologists regarded tropical cyclones as shallow vortices, extending upward only a few kilometers into the troposphere, and nothing was known about their physics save that convection was somehow involved. As recently as 1938, a major hurricane struck the densely populated northeastern United States with no warning whatsoever, killing hundreds. In the time since the American Meteorological Society was founded, however, tropical cyclone research blossomed into an endeavor of great breadth and depth, encompassing fields ranging from atmospheric and oceanic dynamics to biogeochemistry, and the precision and scope of forecasts and warnings have achieved a level of success that would have been regarded as impossible only a few decades ago. This chapter attempts to document the extraordinary progress in tropical cyclone research over the last century and to suggest some avenues for productive research over the next one.
MIT Department
Lorenz Center (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
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Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use.
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1175/amsmonographs-d-18-0016.1