The universal pathway to innovative urban economies
Name
eaba4934.full.pdf
Description
Published version
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2.99 MB
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Unknown
Checksum (MD5)
7a0f7c90d40d855f15620375bfe9de77
Author(s) • • • • •
Hong, Inho
Frank, Morgan R
Rahwan, Iyad
Jung, Woo-Sung
Youn, Hyejin
Frank, Morgan Ryan
Date Issued
2020
Journal
Science Advances
Publisher
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Citation
Hong, Inho, Frank, Morgan R, Rahwan, Iyad, Jung, Woo-Sung and Youn, Hyejin. 2020. "The universal pathway to innovative urban economies." Science Advances, 6 (34).
Version
Final published version
Abstract
© 2020 The Authors. Is there a universal economic pathway individual cities recapitulate over and over? This evolutionary structure- if any-would inform a reference model for fairer assessment, better maintenance, and improved forecasting of urban development. Using employment data including more than 100 million U.S. workers in all industries between 1998 and 2013, we empirically show that individual cities indeed recapitulate a common pathway where a transition to innovative economies is observed at the population of 1.2 million. This critical population is analytically derived by expressing the urban industrial structure as a function of scaling relations such that cities are divided into two economic categories: Small city economies with sublinear industries and large city economies with superlinear industries. Last, we define a recapitulation score as an agreement between the longitudinal and the cross-sectional scaling exponents and find that nontradeable industries tend to adhere to the universal pathway more than the tradeable.
MIT Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
Terms of Use
Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0
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DOI of Published Version
https://doi.org/10.1126/SCIADV.ABA4934