An assessment of uncertainty due to adversary mobility
Author(s)Fulchino, Matthew T
System Design and Management Program.
James M. Utterback.
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Uncertainty related to an adversary's tactics, techniques, and procedures is often difficult to characterize, particularly during the period immediately before a conflict, when planning for a face-to-face confrontation with a combatant. Adversarial freedom of maneuver and the fixed nature of asset defense leaves limited room for error or half-assessments, yet past analysis of regional defendability presumes a static, symmetric adversary, rather than a nimble, cunning one. This thesis examines historical events to identify the source of uncertainty with respect to defensive operations, and proposes that an alternative measure of performance be evaluated to fully characterize the effectiveness and limitations of defensive elements in the face of a determined peer.
Thesis: S.M. in Engineering and Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, System Design and Management Program, 2015..Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.Includes bibliographical references (pages 47-50).
DepartmentMassachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division.; System Design and Management Program.
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Engineering Systems Division., System Design and Management Program.