MIT Libraries logoDSpace@MIT

MIT
View Item 
  • DSpace@MIT Home
  • MIT Libraries
  • MIT Theses
  • Graduate Theses
  • View Item
  • DSpace@MIT Home
  • MIT Libraries
  • MIT Theses
  • Graduate Theses
  • View Item
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

Counterfactual policy introspection using structural causal models

Author(s)
Oberst, Michael Karl.
Thumbnail
Download1142635604-MIT.pdf (2.526Mb)
Other Contributors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science.
Advisor
David Sontag.
Terms of use
MIT theses may be protected by copyright. Please reuse MIT thesis content according to the MIT Libraries Permissions Policy, which is available through the URL provided. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582
Metadata
Show full item record
Abstract
Inspired by a growing interest in applying reinforcement learning (RL) to healthcare, we introduce a procedure for performing qualitative introspection and `debugging' of models and policies. In particular, we make use of counterfactual trajectories, which describe the implicit belief (of a model) of 'what would have happened' if a policy had been applied. These serve to decompose model-based estimates of reward into specific claims about specific trajectories, a useful tool for 'debugging' of models and policies, especially when side information is available for domain experts to review alongside the counterfactual claims. More specically, we give a general procedure (using structural causal models) to generate counterfactuals based on an existing model of the environment, including common models used in model-based RL. We apply our procedure to a pair of synthetic applications to build intuition, and conclude with an application on real healthcare data, introspecting a policy for sepsis management learned in the recently published work of Komorowski et al. (2018).
Description
This electronic version was submitted by the student author. The certified thesis is available in the Institute Archives and Special Collections.
 
Thesis: S.M., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, 2019
 
Cataloged from student-submitted PDF version of thesis.
 
Includes bibliographical references (pages 97-102).
 
Date issued
2019
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/124128
Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science
Publisher
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Keywords
Electrical Engineering and Computer Science.

Collections
  • Graduate Theses

Browse

All of DSpaceCommunities & CollectionsBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjectsThis CollectionBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjects

My Account

Login

Statistics

OA StatisticsStatistics by CountryStatistics by Department
MIT Libraries
PrivacyPermissionsAccessibilityContact us
MIT
Content created by the MIT Libraries, CC BY-NC unless otherwise noted. Notify us about copyright concerns.