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    • Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration 

      Salganik, Matthew J.; Lundberg, Ian; Kindel, Alexander T.; Ahearn, Caitlin E.; Al-Ghoneim, Khaled; e.a. (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2020-04-14)
      How predictable are life trajectories? We investigated this question with a scientific mass collaboration using the common task method; 160 teams built predictive models for six life outcomes using data from the Fragile ...