Browsing 2. Computational International Relations by Title
Now showing items 7-25 of 25
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Domestic energy pricing: Trends and implications for the Arab world
(© International Research Center for Energy and Economic Development (ICEED), 1985)Energy use everywhere is tied to population growth, industrialization, expansion of urban centers, and development of industrial and infrastructural facilities. The decade of the 1970s saw dramatic changes in the economic ... -
The energy policy project: Petroleum and natural gas in Egypt
(© Massachusetts Institute of Technology/Cairo University, 1983)This study is undertaken as part of the Energy and Development Research Program at M.I.T. under the direction of Professor Choucri. It is designed to Contribute to understanding energy-economy interactions in development ... -
Forecasting in international relations: Problems and prospects
(© Gorden and Breach Science Publishers Ltd., 1974)The author argues that forecasting is a problem of reasoning, of reducing uncertainty, and of bounded speculation, and she identifies four types of forecasting goals: (1) understanding the unknown (i.e., prophecy), (2) ... -
In search of peace systems: Scandinavia and the Netherlands, 1870-1970
(© Sage Publications, 1972) -
International changes in the world oil market: A simulation perspective
(© International Political Science Association, 1982-10-01)The oil price increases of October 1973 triggered a set of changes in the international system that promise to have continued, long-term effects. This article begins with a review of the major attempts to model the world ... -
The international petroleum exchange model: Reference results and validation
(© Elsevier B.V., 1980-06)The author describes the IPE model and compares its main results with the data for 1970–1978. The model's results are close to the actual consumer-import demand for those years. The model's forecasts of the future demand ... -
Key issues in international relations forecasting
(© W.H. Freeman & Company, 1978) -
Organizational innovation: Global workflow and institutional e-Networking
(© Springer Science+Business Media B.V., 2007) -
Research initiative to understand & model state stability: Exploiting system dynamics.
(© The System Dynamics Society, 2005)The 9/11 Commission Report states: “We learned that the institutions charted with protecting ...national security did not understand how grave this threat can be, and did not adjust their policies, plans, and practices to ... -
Resource scarcity and foreign policy: A simulation model of international conflict
(© Center for International Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1972)This paper describes the initial stages of an interdisciplinary research project designed to trace the effects of domestic resource needs and scarcities in advanced technological societies upon international behavior. Our ... -
Short-run energy-economy interactions in Egypt
(© Elsevier B.V., 1984-08)This paper discusses the short-run adjustment mechanism of the Egyptian economy to changes in the domestic price of oil. The effects of oil price increases have been analysed in the framework of a short-run macroeconomic ... -
Simulation models
(© Elsevier B.V., 1990-03)This paper summarizes some basic assumptions and procedures for simulation approaches. A brief discussion of system dynamics is presented. A description of the International Petroleum Exchange Model (IPE) developed at MIT ... -
System dynamics forecasting in international relations
(© W.H. Freeman & Company, 1978) -
The Theory of Lateral Pressure Highlights of Quantification & Empirical Analysis
(SSRN, 2016-11-11)Lateral Pressure refers to any tendency (or propensity) of individuals and societies to expand their activities and exert influence and control beyond their established boundaries, whether for economic, political, military, ... -
The Theory of Lateral Pressure: Highlights of Quantification and Empirical Analysis
(© Oxford University Press, 2017-07-27)The term lateral pressure refers to any tendency (or propensity) of states, firms, and other entities to expand their activities and exert influence and control beyond their established boundaries, whether for economic, ... -
Towards a forecasting model of energy politics: International Perspectives
(© Sage Publications, 1976)Almost everyone recognizes an energy problem but uncertainties remain about its political and economic implications, both domestic and international. Indeed, there is disagreement on the extent to which it is a crisis. The ... -
Understanding & Modeling State Stability: Exploiting System Dynamics
(IEEE, 2006-03-04)The potential loss of state stability in various parts of the world is a source of threat to U.S. national security. Every case is unique, but there are common processes. Accordingly, we develop a system dynamics model of ... -
Using system dynamics to model and better understand state stability
(© Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2007-07-01)The world can be complex and dangerous - the loss of state stability of countries is of increasing concern. Although every case is unique, there are important common processes. We have developed a system dynamics model of ...
